Süper Lig · Sat · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
The price gap is wide: Fenerbahce at 1.48 (about 68% implied) versus Genclerbirligi SK at 7.02 (around 14%), reflecting a strong favourite.
The draw at 4.75 implies roughly 21%, but our model rates its fair probability closer to 23%, producing a positive value edge above 10%.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 2.36 sits near 41% implied confidence, though its value edge is marginally negative at -2.89%.
The best odds are spread across books, with 1xBet leading the match-result and goals markets and Coolbet offering the top draw price.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 4.58 | +8.3% | 24% | 60 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce | 1.50 | 1xBet | 66.7% |
| Genclerbirligi SK | 6.81 | 1xBet | 14.7% |
| Draw | 4.58 | 1xBet | 21.8% |
Genclerbirligi SK host Fenerbahce in the Süper Lig, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Fenerbahce are priced at 1.48 with 1xBet, which translates to an implied win probability of roughly 68%, marking them as clear favourites on the road. Genclerbirligi SK sit at the other end at 7.02, or about 14% implied, while the draw is available at 4.75 with Coolbet, worth around 21% in probability terms. Against that backdrop, our model's recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.36 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence near 41%. It is worth noting the value edge on that selection reads slightly negative at -2.89%, so it is more a lean than a standout price. The one spot where our model flags genuine value is the draw, priced at 4.75 with an estimated fair probability of 23% and a positive edge above 10%.
Verdict: The model leans to Under 2.5 goals at 2.36, a roughly coin-flip proposition with a slightly negative edge, so treat it as a modest lean rather than a strong call. The clearer value flag is the draw at 4.75. Stake responsibly and keep bets within a manageable bankroll.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Akhisar Belediyespor | 1.20 | 7.29 | 12.50 |
| 15 Aug 16:00 | Kasimpasa SK v Trabzonspor | 4.10 | 3.83 | 1.90 |
| 15 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.56 | 3.30 | 3.14 |
| 15 Aug 18:30 | Gazişehir Gaziantep v Alanyaspor | 2.66 | 3.50 | 2.71 |
| 16 Aug 16:00 | Basaksehir v Kocaelispor | 1.55 | 4.40 | 6.75 |
| 16 Aug 18:30 | Amed SK v Erzurum BB | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| 16 Aug 18:30 | Besiktas JK v Eyüpspor | 1.35 | 5.70 | 8.95 |
| 17 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Goztepe | 2.20 | 3.43 | 3.52 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.76, with a 55% confidence rating.
Fenerbahce are the favourites at 1.48, an implied win probability of about 68%. Genclerbirligi SK are long outsiders at 7.02, roughly 14%.
The draw is available at 4.75 with Coolbet, implying around 21%. Our model estimates a fair probability of 23%, giving a positive value edge above 10%, the strongest value signal in this market.
The model recommends Under 2.5 goals at 2.36 with 1xBet, with implied confidence near 41%. Its value edge is slightly negative at -2.89%, so it is a lean rather than a clear-cut value pick.
Genclerbirligi SK vs Fenerbahce takes place Sat · 18:30 in the Süper Lig.
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