Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Bodø/Glimt's 1.35 price implies close to a 74% win probability, signalling a clear market favourite in this Eliteserien meeting.
Fredrikstad FK's 9.6 odds put their implied win chance at only around 10%, reflecting a wide gap between the two sides.
The draw at 5.95 carries an implied probability near 17-18%, and the model flags a 4.3% edge here versus its fair-value estimate.
The recommended Under 3.5 goals bet at 1.82 comes with 59% model confidence and an 8.09% value edge, the largest edge identified in this preview.
Team form
Head-to-head: Fredrikstad FK v Bodø/Glimt
W/D/L shown from Fredrikstad FK's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Fredrikstad FK vs Bodø/Glimt: pre-match preview
Fredrikstad FK host Bodø/Glimt in an Eliteserien clash where the betting market leaves little doubt about the pecking order. The best price on Bodø/Glimt, 1.35, implies a win probability of roughly 74%, making the visitors heavy favourites on paper. Fredrikstad, at odds of 9.6, are given only around a 10% chance, while the draw at 5.95 carries an implied probability near 17-18%. Away from the outright result, our model steers toward the goals market, recommending Under 3.5 goals at 1.82 with a stated confidence of 59% and a value edge of just over 8%. Separately, the draw stands out as a value angle, priced at 5.95 against a fair probability estimate of 18%, a gap of 4.3%. Together these numbers frame a fixture where the winner looks fairly settled by the market, but where secondary markets may offer sharper value for attentive bettors.
Verdict: The data points to Bodø/Glimt as strong favourites, but the clearer statistical opportunity lies in the goals market. Under 3.5 goals at 1.82 offers a reasonable edge (8.09%) with moderate 59% confidence, making it a considered rather than certain selection. Risk remains inherent to any football bet.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.82 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Eliteserien fixtures
All Eliteserien tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:16 | SK Brann v Bodø/Glimt | 2.18 | 2.88 | 7.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.82.
Bodø/Glimt are strongly favoured, with best odds of 1.35 implying roughly a 74% chance of victory according to the market.
The best available draw price is 5.95, which implies an approximate 17% probability, with the model estimating fair value slightly higher at 18%.
Based on the data, the clearest value is in the Under 3.5 goals market at 1.82 odds, showing an 8.09% edge, while the draw also shows a smaller 4.3% edge versus its fair price.
The tip won — final score 1-2 (+0.82u at flat stakes).