Champions League · Wed · 16:45 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Como are priced as favourites at 2.06, implying roughly a 49 percent chance of victory according to the market.
Feyenoord's best odds of 3.65 imply around a 27 percent win probability, notably behind Como but far from negligible.
The draw at 4.11 carries a model fair probability of 25 percent, producing a positive value edge of 3.85 percent.
The recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.38 shows a 41 percent implied confidence but a slightly negative edge of -1.52 percent, meaning the market price is not clearly in the bettor's favour.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 · FEY | X | 2 · COM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.59 | 4.21 | 2.00 |
| Coolbet | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.55 | 4.20 | 1.94 |
| Nordic Bet | 3.55 | 4.05 | 1.95 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.50 | 4.10 | 1.95 |
| GTbets | 3.47 | 4.02 | 1.95 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Feyenoord host Como in a Champions League clash where the betting market leans clearly toward the visitors. Como's best price of 2.06 with Betfair implies a win probability of roughly 49 percent, making them the favourites on paper, while Feyenoord's top price of 3.65 (1xBet) points to about 27 percent, and the draw at 4.11 sits close to 24 percent. Those numbers suggest bookmakers see this as a fixture where the away side has a tangible but not overwhelming edge. Our model's headline recommendation steers away from the result market entirely, favouring Over 3.5 goals at 2.38 with 1xBet, a selection carrying a 41 percent implied confidence level but a slightly negative value edge of -1.52 percent. Separately, the draw stands out as a value angle, priced at 4.11 against a modelled fair probability of 25 percent, an edge of 3.85 percent worth noting for bettors comparing markets.
Verdict: The model's headline pick, Over 3.5 goals at 2.38, reflects a moderate 41 percent confidence level but a small negative edge, so it should be treated as a speculative rather than a strongly favoured selection. The draw's positive value edge offers an alternative angle for bettors comparing markets, though all outcomes carry meaningful uncertainty.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 16:45 | RC Lens v Sporting Lisbon | 2.47 | 3.95 | 2.86 |
| 13 Oct 16:45 | Sabah FK v Slavia Praha | 3.72 | 4.00 | 2.06 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Arsenal v Lille | 1.33 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Inter Milan v Club Brugge | 1.32 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Villarreal v Napoli | 2.42 | 3.75 | 3.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven | 2.08 | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Viking FK v Bayern Munich | 26.00 | 14.70 | 1.12 |
| 13 Oct 19:00 | Atlético Madrid v Manchester United | 2.35 | 4.00 | 2.97 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barça | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | RC Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | PAE AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Shaktar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atleti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Sl. Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.11, with a 47% confidence rating.
Como are the market favourites, with a best price of 2.06 implying roughly a 49 percent win probability, ahead of Feyenoord's 27 percent implied chance at 3.65.
The best available draw price is 4.11 with 1xBet, which corresponds to an implied probability of about 24 percent, while the model's fair probability estimate is 25 percent.
According to the data, the draw shows a positive value edge of 3.85 percent versus market consensus, while the recommended Over 3.5 goals bet at 2.38 has a slightly negative edge of -1.52 percent despite 41 percent implied confidence.
Feyenoord vs Como takes place Wed · 16:45 in the Champions League.
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