Swiss Super League · Sun · 14:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 · how we work
FC Vaduz are favourites at 2.09 (about 48% implied), ahead of Grasshopper Zürich at 3.24 (about 31%).
The draw is the longest option at 4.0, implying roughly 25%, so the market expects a decisive result.
The recommended Over 3.0 goals bet at 1.78 carries a market-implied confidence around 54%.
The value edge on the goals pick is negative at -4.73%, and no value picks cleared our threshold, signalling caution.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 4.00 | +5.3% | 26% | 59 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Bookmaker | 1 · FV | X | 2 · GZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.89 | 3.20 |
| GTbets | 2.09 | 3.67 | 3.24 |
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.74 | 3.16 |
| Tipico | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
FC Vaduz host Grasshopper Zürich in the Swiss Super League, and the market gives the home side the edge. Vaduz are priced at 2.09, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 48%, while Grasshopper sit at 3.24, or about 31%. The draw drifts out to 4.0, implying around 25%, so bookmakers clearly lean toward a home result rather than a stalemate. Those figures point to a moderate favourite rather than a lopsided mismatch, with Grasshopper very much in the frame as underdogs. Our model steps away from the match-result market and instead looks at goals, recommending Over 3.0 goals at 1.78 with Coolbet. That price reflects a market-implied confidence near 54%. It is worth noting the value edge here is negative at -4.73%, meaning the number is not offering a clear pricing advantage, so treat the pick as a lean rather than a standout spot.
Verdict: The lean is Over 3.0 goals at 1.78, backed by a 54% implied confidence. However, the -4.73% value edge means the market is not offering a genuine pricing advantage, so this is a modest lean at best. Stake responsibly and keep it within a sensible bankroll.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Servette v FC Luzern | 1.95 | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | FC Lausanne-Sport v FC Zurich | 1.87 | 3.85 | 4.37 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | BSC Young Boys v FC Basel | 1.69 | 4.75 | 4.79 |
| 30 Aug 12:00 | FC Sion v FC Lugano | 2.22 | 3.60 | 3.35 |
| 30 Aug 14:30 | FC St Gallen v FC Thun | 1.67 | 4.50 | 4.83 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.0 goals at odds of 1.81, with a 53% confidence rating.
FC Vaduz are the favourites at 2.09, an implied probability of about 48%, while Grasshopper Zürich are priced at 3.24, roughly 31%.
The draw is priced at 4.0 with Coolbet, implying around a 25% chance and making it the least likely of the three outcomes according to the market.
No value picks cleared our threshold. The recommended Over 3.0 goals at 1.78 actually shows a negative edge of -4.73%, so it is a lean rather than a value play.
FC Vaduz vs Grasshopper Zürich takes place Sun · 14:30 in the Swiss Super League.
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