Swiss Super League ยท Sat ยท 18:30 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
Young Boys are firm favourites at 1.69 (about 59% implied), while Basel are outsiders at 4.79 (around 21%).
The gap between the two sides is wide, with Basel priced more than double Young Boys' odds.
The draw is quoted at 4.6, implying roughly 22% โ broadly level with Basel's chances in the market's view.
The Under 3.5 goals pick at 2.0 shows a negative value edge of -3.36%, so it clears no value threshold despite the model's interest.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 4.75 | +9.4% | 23% | 61 |
| FC Basel to win | 4.79 | +6.6% | 22% | 58 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip โ every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท BYB | X | 2 ยท FB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.63 | 4.75 | 4.50 |
| GTbets | 1.69 | 4.22 | 4.57 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 4.30 | 4.79 |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.30 | 4.59 |
| Tipico | 1.57 | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60 | 4.30 | 4.65 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
This Swiss Super League clash sees BSC Young Boys host FC Basel, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Young Boys are priced at 1.69, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 59%, marking them as clear home favourites. Basel, by contrast, sit at 4.79 with Pinnacle, implying about 21% โ a sizeable gap that reflects how the market rates this contest. The draw is quoted around 4.6, or close to 22% in probability terms. Rather than backing a side, our model looks to the goals market, pointing to Under 3.5 goals at 2.0 with Coolbet. That price carries a market-implied confidence of about 48%, though the value edge sits slightly negative at -3.36%. In short, the odds tell a story of a strong home favourite, with the recommended angle centred on total goals rather than the result itself.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2.0, with market-implied confidence near 48%. Be aware the value edge is negative at -3.36%, meaning the price offers no clear market edge. Treat it as a modest-confidence angle and stake responsibly rather than as a standout opportunity.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 16:00 | Servette v FC Luzern | 1.95 | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| 29 Aug 16:00 | FC Lausanne-Sport v FC Zurich | 1.87 | 3.85 | 4.37 |
| 30 Aug 12:00 | FC Sion v FC Lugano | 2.22 | 3.60 | 3.35 |
| 30 Aug 14:30 | FC Vaduz v Grasshopper Zรผrich | 2.09 | 4.00 | 3.24 |
| 30 Aug 14:30 | FC St Gallen v FC Thun | 1.67 | 4.50 | 4.83 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 2.00, with a 48% confidence rating.
BSC Young Boys are the favourites at 1.69, implying roughly a 59% chance. FC Basel are the outsiders at 4.79, around 21%.
The draw is priced at 4.6 with Tipico, which implies approximately a 22% probability.
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Under 3.5 goals at 2.0 actually shows a negative edge of -3.36%, so there is no clear value against the market here.
BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel takes place Sat ยท 18:30 in the Swiss Super League.
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