Swiss Super League · Sun · 14:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Sion at 1.51 imply roughly a 66% chance, establishing them as strong home favourites in this fixture.
Vaduz at 6.5 (around 15%) and the draw at 5.0 (around 20%) show a wide price gap behind the favourite.
The draw carries a positive value edge of 9.81%, with a fair probability of 22% against a best price of 5.0.
The Under 2.5 goals recommendation at 2.45 sits at a negative edge of -6.96% and only 38% implied confidence, so it is a low-conviction lean.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sion | 1.51 | GTbets | 66.2% |
| FC Vaduz | 6.50 | Coolbet | 15.4% |
| Draw | 5.00 | Coolbet | 20.0% |
FC Sion host FC Vaduz in this Swiss Super League fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about the favourite. Sion are priced at 1.51, which converts to an implied probability of roughly 66%, marking them as clear home favourites. Vaduz sit out at 6.5 (around 15%), while the draw is offered at 5.0 (about 20%). Those numbers frame a contest the bookmakers expect Sion to control, though far from a formality. Our model's headline recommendation is Under 2.5 goals at 2.45 with Nordic Bet, reflecting a leaning toward a tighter game, albeit at a negative value edge of -6.96% and only 38% implied confidence. More interesting from a value standpoint is the draw at 5.0, where our fair probability of 22% suggests a positive edge of 9.81%. Both angles offer different ways to approach a match where the favourite is respected but the price gap is sizeable.
Verdict: The model flags Under 2.5 goals at 2.45, a modest lean rather than a strong signal given its negative value edge and 38% confidence. The draw at 5.0 offers the standout value on the card. Treat both as speculative and stake responsibly, since outcomes here remain uncertain.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 16:00 | FC Lausanne-Sport v BSC Young Boys | 3.00 | 4.23 | 2.25 |
| 8 Aug 18:30 | Servette v Grasshopper Zürich | 1.60 | 4.34 | 5.50 |
| 9 Aug 12:00 | FC Lugano v FC Zurich | 1.53 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
| 9 Aug 14:30 | FC Basel v FC Thun | 1.94 | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| 9 Aug 14:30 | FC St Gallen v FC Luzern | 2.08 | 3.97 | 3.57 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.62, with a 36% confidence rating.
FC Sion are the clear favourites at 1.51, implying roughly a 66% chance. FC Vaduz are the outsiders at 6.5, around 15%.
The draw is available at 5.0 with Coolbet, implying about a 20% probability. Our model rates its fair probability at 22%, giving a positive value edge of 9.81%.
The draw at 5.0 shows the best value with an edge of 9.81%. The model's Under 2.5 goals pick at 2.45 actually carries a negative edge of -6.96%, so it is a lower-conviction option.
FC Sion vs FC Vaduz takes place Sun · 14:30 in the Swiss Super League.
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