English ⚽ MLS 🕒 1 Aug 2026
Our tip
Draw (X)
Odds
4.30
LostResult
4-2Final score
-1.00uProfit
25%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
FC Cincinnati are favourites at 2.03 (about 49% implied), with San Jose the outsiders at 3.48 (roughly 29%).
02
The draw is priced at 4.3, implying near 23%, but our model rates it at 25%, creating the value angle.
03
That difference gives the draw an estimated edge of 8.44%, the only pick flagged as value here.
04
The moderate favourite price shows the market sees a competitive game rather than a one-sided one.
Team form
FC FC Cincinnati DDLDW
20 Sept 26 @ Houston Dynamo 2-2
12 Sept 26 vs Charlotte FC 3-3
9 Sept 26 @ Philadelphia Union 0-5
22 Aug 26 vs Seattle Sounders FC 1-1
19 Aug 26 vs New York City FC 2-1
SJE San Jose Earthquakes DWWDL
19 Sept 26 vs Los Angeles FC 2-2
13 Sept 26 vs Houston Dynamo 1-0
10 Sept 26 @ San Diego FC 3-2
6 Sept 26 @ Austin FC 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Minnesota United FC 1-5
Head-to-head: FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes
W 2 Aug 26
FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose EarthquakesMLS
W/D/L shown from FC Cincinnati's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: pre-match preview
This MLS meeting between FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes sees the hosts installed as favourites, with a best price of 2.03 that implies roughly a 49% chance of a home win. San Jose are clear outsiders at 3.48, translating to about a 29% probability, while the draw sits at 4.3, or close to 23% in implied terms. The market therefore leans towards Cincinnati but stops well short of treating them as dominant, leaving room for either a road result or a stalemate. Our model focuses on that middle ground: it rates the draw at a fair probability of 25%, which is higher than the price suggests, producing a value edge of about 8.44% at 4.3 with Coolbet. That gap between our estimate and the market line is where the recommended bet lives, and it is worth weighing against the shorter odds on offer for the two outright results.
Verdict: The recommended play is the draw at 4.3 with Coolbet, backed by an estimated 8.44% edge over the market line. It is a value-driven pick rather than a likely outcome, since the draw carries only around a 25% chance, so treat it as higher-risk and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 4-2, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 1 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsfinal score 4-2
3.35 -1.00u Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?+
Our tip was Draw (X) at odds of 4.30.
Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?+
FC Cincinnati are the favourites at a best price of 2.03, which implies about a 49% chance of a home win. San Jose Earthquakes are outsiders at 3.48, roughly 29%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is available at 4.3 with Coolbet, implying around a 23% chance from the market price.
Is there any betting value in this fixture?+
Our model flags the draw as the value pick, rating its fair probability at 25% against a 4.3 price for an estimated 8.44% edge. No edge was identified on either outright result.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 4-2 (-1.00u at flat stakes).