English ⚽ La Liga 🕒 6 Sept 2026
Our tip
Espanyol to win
Odds
2.39
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
43%Pre-match conf.
+0.42%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Espanyol's 2.39 price implies roughly 42% win probability, the highest of the three outcomes and the basis for the model's recommended bet.
02
Sevilla's 3.6 price implies about 28% probability, yet the model estimates a fair probability of 29%, producing a 3.54% edge.
03
The draw at 3.35 implies just under 30%, keeping it competitive with Sevilla's win chance and reflecting a genuinely open contest.
04
The recommended Espanyol bet carries a modest 3.72% value edge, indicating a slight market discrepancy rather than a strong statistical certainty.
Team form
ESP Espanyol LLWDL
18 Sept 26 vs Elche 1-3
15 Sept 26 @ Rayo Vallecano 1-2
12 Sept 26 @ Osasuna 2-0
6 Sept 26 vs Sevilla FC 1-1
29 Aug 26 @ Real Sociedad 1-2
SEV Sevilla LWWDL
19 Sept 26 vs Barça 1-3
16 Sept 26 @ Deportivo 1-0
11 Sept 26 vs Valencia 1-0
6 Sept 26 @ Espanyol 1-1
29 Aug 26 vs Atleti 1-3
Head-to-head: Espanyol v Sevilla
Full H2H history → D 6 Sept 26
Espanyol 1-1 Sevilla FCLa Liga
L 9 May 26
Sevilla FC 2-1 EspanyolLa Liga
W 24 Nov 25
Espanyol 2-1 Sevilla FCLa Liga
W/D/L shown from Espanyol's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Espanyol vs Sevilla: pre-match preview
Espanyol host Sevilla in a La Liga fixture where the betting market leans toward the home side without making them overwhelming favourites. The best available price on Espanyol, 2.39 with 1xBet, implies a win probability of roughly 42%, while Sevilla's top price of 3.6 with Betfair points to around 28%. The draw, priced at 3.35 with 1xBet, sits close behind at nearly 30%, underlining how tightly contested the market views this game to be. Our model's recommended bet is Espanyol to win at 2.39, carrying a market-implied confidence of 43% and a modelled value edge of 3.72%, suggesting the price may undervalue the home side slightly. At the same time, Sevilla's odds show their own edge of 3.54% against a fair probability estimate of 29%, meaning both outcomes carry some statistical interest for bettors comparing prices across books.
Verdict: Espanyol to win at 2.39 is the model's pick, backed by a 43% implied confidence and a 3.72% edge over fair value. It is not a dominant favourite scenario, so this remains a moderate-risk selection; bettors should size stakes responsibly given the closeness of all three outcomes.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 6 Sept 26
Over 2.5 goalsfinal score 1-1
2.50 -1.00u Upcoming La Liga fixtures
All La Liga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Valencia v Real Sociedad | 3.18 | 3.45 | 2.58 |
| 9 Oct 19:00 | Málaga v Espanyol | 2.50 | 3.38 | 3.13 |
| 10 Oct 12:00 | Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao | 3.20 | 3.51 | 2.40 |
| 10 Oct 14:15 | Alavés v Atlético Madrid | 3.90 | 3.75 | 2.08 |
| 10 Oct 16:30 | Barcelona v Getafe | 1.07 | 24.00 | 55.00 |
| 10 Oct 19:00 | Real Madrid v Villarreal | 1.27 | 7.50 | 11.30 |
| 11 Oct 12:00 | Elche CF v Celta Vigo | 3.03 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| 11 Oct 14:15 | Real Sociedad v Deportivo La Coruña | 1.97 | 3.75 | 4.21 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Primera Division standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 | Atleti | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Alavés | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportivo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 | Athletic | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Celta | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Espanyol vs Sevilla?+
Our tip was Espanyol to win at odds of 2.39.
Who is favourite in the Espanyol vs Sevilla match?+
Espanyol are priced as favourites at 2.39 with 1xBet, implying roughly a 42% chance of winning, higher than Sevilla's implied 28% at their best price of 3.6.
What is the draw priced at for this fixture?+
The draw is available at 3.35 with 1xBet, which implies a probability of just under 30%, close to Sevilla's own win probability.
Is there value in backing Sevilla instead of Espanyol?+
The data shows Sevilla's 3.6 price against a fair probability estimate of 29% produces a 3.54% edge, similar in size to the 3.72% edge on the recommended Espanyol bet, so both prices show some statistical value rather than one being clearly superior.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).