Scottish Premiership · Sat · 14:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
The match-result prices are nearly level: Aberdeen at 2.65 (about 38% implied) and Dundee FC at 2.69 (about 37%), leaving no strong favourite.
The draw at 3.6 implies roughly a 28% chance, consistent with a tightly priced, competitive fixture.
Our recommended Under 2.75 goals bet at 1.76 carries a market-implied confidence around 55%, suggesting a modest lean toward a lower-scoring game.
The value edge on that Under pick is negative at -3.84%, and no result-market selection cleared our value threshold, so opportunities here are limited.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 2.66 | Betfair | 37.6% |
| Dundee FC | 2.70 | Betfair | 37.0% |
| Draw | 3.50 | Coolbet | 28.6% |
Dundee FC host Aberdeen in the Scottish Premiership on 8 August 2026, and the market frames this as one of the tightest calls you will find. Aberdeen are marginally shorter at 2.65 with Pinnacle, translating to roughly a 38% implied chance, while Dundee FC sit just behind at 2.69, or about 37%. The gap is slim enough that neither side can be called a clear favourite; the pricing points to a genuine coin-flip between two evenly matched teams. The draw is offered at 3.6 with Coolbet, an implied likelihood near 28%, underlining how open the outcome looks. Our model leans away from the result market entirely, instead recommending Under 2.75 goals at 1.76 with BetOnline.ag, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 55%. That said, the value edge on this pick is slightly negative at -3.84%, so it reflects a lean rather than a strong statistical advantage worth chasing.
Verdict: The lean is Under 2.75 goals at 1.76, backed by roughly 55% implied confidence in a low-scoring contest. Be aware the value edge is slightly negative at -3.84%, making this a marginal call rather than a standout play. Treat it accordingly and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 14:00 | St Mirren v St Johnstone | 2.38 | 3.50 | 3.05 |
| 9 Aug 12:30 | Kilmarnock v Celtic | 7.40 | 5.60 | 1.43 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | Hearts v Dundee United | 1.62 | 4.30 | 5.90 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | Motherwell v Falkirk F.C. | 1.82 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | Rangers v Hibernian | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.75 goals at odds of 1.76, with a 55% confidence rating.
Aberdeen are marginally favoured at 2.65 versus Dundee FC at 2.69, but the prices are so close that the market effectively rates it a near coin-flip with no strong favourite.
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 28% chance of the match ending level.
No result-market selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Under 2.75 goals at 1.76 is a modest lean, but its value edge is slightly negative at -3.84%, so there is no clear statistical edge.
Dundee FC vs Aberdeen takes place Sat · 14:00 in the Scottish Premiership.
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