Liga Profesional · Sat · 17:45 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Estudiantes are the favourites at 2.6 (around 38% implied), ahead of Deportivo Riestra at 3.4 (around 29%).
The draw is priced at 2.67, roughly 37% implied, close to Estudiantes' price and pointing to a tightly rated match.
The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.92 carries about 50% market-implied confidence, essentially a coin-flip proposition.
No value picks cleared the threshold, and the Over 1.5 selection shows a negative edge of -4.76%, so the price offers no measurable advantage.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | 3.40 | Unibet (SE) | 29.4% |
| Estudiantes | 2.62 | 1xBet | 38.2% |
| Draw | 2.72 | Betsson | 36.8% |
This Liga Profesional clash pits Deportivo Riestra against Estudiantes, and the market leans clearly toward the visitors. Estudiantes are priced at 2.6 with 1xBet, translating to an implied probability of roughly 38%, while Deportivo Riestra sit at 3.4, or about 29%. The draw is close to the same range at 2.67, near 37% implied, which suggests bookmakers see a tight, competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. Estudiantes are favoured, but only modestly, and Riestra's home price leaves genuine scope for an upset or a stalemate. Our model does not flag a value angle on the match result. Instead it points to Over 1.5 goals at 1.92, carrying a market-implied confidence around 50%. Notably, that pick shows a negative value edge of about -4.76%, meaning the price offers no measurable edge over the market. Treat it as a lean rather than a standout opportunity.
Verdict: The model's lean is Over 1.5 goals at 1.92, an even-money-style call with about 50% implied confidence. Its negative edge of -4.76% means there is no clear value here, so this is a low-conviction pick at best. Stake modestly and manage your bankroll sensibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Estudiantes | 2.16 | 3.10 | 4.34 |
| 6 Aug 00:15 | CA Tigre BA v Belgrano de Cordoba | 2.66 | 2.92 | 3.40 |
| 6 Aug 22:00 | Union Santa Fe v Lanus | 2.40 | 3.09 | 3.65 |
| 7 Aug 22:30 | Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata | 1.55 | 3.90 | 8.60 |
| 8 Aug 00:45 | Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.56 | 4.02 | 7.80 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.83 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| 8 Aug 20:00 | CA Tigre BA v River Plate | 3.42 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
| 8 Aug 22:15 | Boca Juniors v Velez Sarsfield BA | 1.82 | 3.25 | 5.29 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.96, with a 49% confidence rating.
Estudiantes are the favourites at 2.6, implying around a 38% chance. Deportivo Riestra are the outsiders at 3.4, about 29% implied.
The draw is priced at 2.67 with 1xBet, an implied probability of roughly 37%. That is close to Estudiantes' price, reflecting an evenly matched fixture.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The suggested Over 1.5 goals at 1.92 actually shows a negative edge of -4.76%, meaning the odds offer no measurable value over the market.
Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes takes place Sat · 17:45 in the Liga Profesional.
English 
Español 
Português 
Deutsch 
Français