English ⚽ Brasileirão 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 2.0 goals
Odds
1.68
WonResult
1-2Final score
+0.68uProfit
48%Pre-match conf.
-15.15%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Corinthians are the favourites at 2.37, implying about a 42% win chance, ahead of Cruzeiro at 3.21 (roughly 31%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.3, around 30% implied, underlining a closely matched market with no clear standout result.
03
Our model's Over 2.0 goals bet at 1.68 shows a 7.73% value edge, the only spot flagged above threshold.
04
No outright match-result selection cleared the value threshold, so the goals line is the preferred angle.
Team form
COR Corinthians LLLLL
13 Sept 26 @ Flamengo 1-2
6 Sept 26 vs Chapecoense 1-2
30 Aug 26 vs Santos 0-1
23 Aug 26 @ Coritiba 1-2
16 Aug 26 vs Cruzeiro 1-2
CRU Cruzeiro LWLWW
13 Sept 26 @ Santos 1-2
6 Sept 26 vs Paranaense 3-1
30 Aug 26 @ Vasco da Gama 1-3
22 Aug 26 vs Flamengo 2-1
16 Aug 26 @ Corinthians 2-1
Head-to-head: Corinthians v Cruzeiro
Full H2H history → L 16 Aug 26
Corinthians 1-2 CruzeiroBrasileirão
D 25 Feb 26
Cruzeiro 1-1 CorinthiansBrasileirão
L 23 Nov 25
Cruzeiro 3-0 CorinthiansBrasileirão
D 23 Jul 25
Corinthians 0-0 CruzeiroBrasileirão
W/D/L shown from Corinthians's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Corinthians vs Cruzeiro: pre-match preview
Corinthians host Cruzeiro in the Brasileirao, and the market leans towards the home side without treating them as heavy favourites. Corinthians are priced at 2.37, which implies roughly a 42% chance of the win, while Cruzeiro at 3.21 translate to about 31%. The draw sits at 3.3, or close to 30% in implied terms, so the market sees this as a competitive fixture with no dominant pick. Rather than backing a side outright, our model looks to the goals market. The recommended bet is Over 2.0 goals at 1.68 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 48% and a value edge of 7.73% against the price. That edge is where the model sees the main opportunity here, favouring an open game over a tight, low-scoring outcome between these two Brasileirao teams.
Verdict: The recommended play is Over 2.0 goals at 1.68, backed by a 7.73% value edge and roughly 48% implied confidence. It is a moderate-risk lean on an open contest rather than a certainty. As with any bet, stake responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of +0.68 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming Brasileirão fixtures
All Brasileirão tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Corinthians v Fluminense | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 21:30 | Flamengo v Bragantino-SP | 1.39 | 5.70 | 10.00 |
| 20 Sept 22:30 | Atletico Paranaense v Bahia | 2.36 | 3.50 | 3.35 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Bragantino-SP v Mirassol | 1.79 | 3.65 | 4.75 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Remo v Grêmio | 2.63 | 3.35 | 2.77 |
| 7 Oct 22:30 | Internacional v Corinthians | 2.45 | 3.17 | 3.13 |
| 7 Oct 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense | 1.62 | 3.96 | 5.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 | Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mineiro | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitória | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?+
Our tip was Over 2.0 goals at odds of 1.68.
Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?+
Corinthians are the market favourite at 2.37, implying about a 42% win chance, compared with Cruzeiro at 3.21 (around 31%).
What are the odds for a draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.3 with Coolbet, which works out to roughly a 30% implied probability.
Is there any value bet in this match?+
Our model flags Over 2.0 goals at 1.68 as the value pick, with a 7.73% edge and about 48% implied confidence. No match-result selection cleared the value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-2 (+0.68u at flat stakes).