Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Columbus Crew SC are strong favourites at 1.62 (about 62% implied), with CF Montreal well behind at 5.27 (around 19%).
The draw is priced at 4.83, roughly a 21% implied chance, and our model flags it as value with a fair probability of 25% and an 18.39% edge.
CF Montreal at 5.27 also screens as value, with a fair probability of 22% against an implied price nearer 19%, an edge of 15.83%.
The recommended Over 3.0 goals bet at 1.8 sits at about 52% confidence but carries a negative value edge of -5.71%, making it a goals-based lean rather than a price advantage.
Team form
Head-to-head: Columbus Crew SC v CF Montreal
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from Columbus Crew SC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Columbus Crew SC vs CF Montreal: pre-match preview
This MLS meeting between Columbus Crew SC and CF Montreal has a clear favourite in the eyes of the market. Columbus are priced at 1.62 with Betsson, which implies a win probability of roughly 62% before any margin adjustment. CF Montreal are firm outsiders at 5.27 (1xBet), translating to around 19% in raw terms, while the draw sits at 4.83, or close to 21%. In short, bookmakers see Columbus as the side to beat at home. Our model, however, looks past the match result and toward goals: the recommended angle is Over 3.0 goals at 1.8 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 52%. It is worth flagging that this specific price shows a negative value edge of -5.71%, so it is a lean based on expected goal volume rather than a standout price. The interesting value signals sit elsewhere, on the draw and the away side.
Verdict: The recommended bet is Over 3.0 goals at 1.8, backed by a 52% model confidence in a high-scoring game. Be aware this price shows a negative value edge, so it is a moderate-risk lean rather than a value play. Stake responsibly and keep it within your normal bankroll limits.
How it settled: the tip was voided — the match finished 1-2, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Over 3.0 goals at odds of 1.80.
Columbus Crew SC are the favourites at 1.62 with Betsson, implying around a 62% chance. CF Montreal are outsiders at 5.27.
The draw is available at 4.83 with 1xBet, an implied probability of about 21%. Our model rates its fair probability closer to 25%, flagging a positive edge of 18.39%.
The model identifies value on the draw (edge 18.39%) and on CF Montreal at 5.27 (edge 15.83%). The recommended Over 3.0 goals pick, by contrast, shows a negative edge of -5.71%.
The tip was voided — final score 1-2 (0.00u at flat stakes).