English ⚽ MLS 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.81
WonResult
2-0Final score
+0.81uProfit
54%Pre-match conf.
+2.84%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Colorado Rapids at 1.42 imply about 70% win probability, making them heavy favourites over Sporting Kansas City.
02
Sporting Kansas City at 7.75 carry an implied probability near 13%, reflecting their underdog status in the market.
03
The draw is priced at 5.5 (roughly 18% implied), and the model rates its fair probability at 19%, producing a positive edge of about 6.76%.
04
The recommended Under 3.5 goals at 1.81 has an implied confidence around 54% but a slightly negative value edge of -3.0%.
Team form
CR Colorado Rapids DWDLL
20 Sept 26 vs Seattle Sounders FC 3-3
13 Sept 26 vs CF Montreal 1-0
10 Sept 26 @ Austin FC 1-1
5 Sept 26 @ Columbus Crew SC 0-3
23 Aug 26 @ San Diego FC 0-3
SKC Sporting Kansas City LWLLD
20 Sept 26 vs Philadelphia Union 3-4
13 Sept 26 vs Los Angeles FC 3-1
6 Sept 26 @ FC Dallas 3-4
23 Aug 26 @ Atlanta United FC 1-2
20 Aug 26 vs St. Louis City SC 1-1
Head-to-head: Colorado Rapids v Sporting Kansas City
W 16 Aug 26
Colorado Rapids 2-0 Sporting Kansas CityMLS
W/D/L shown from Colorado Rapids's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City: pre-match preview
Colorado Rapids host Sporting Kansas City in this MLS clash, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. The Rapids are priced at 1.42, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 70%, marking them as clear home favourites. Sporting Kansas City are long shots at 7.75, implying only around 13%, while the draw sits at 5.5, or close to 18% in probability terms. That is a wide gulf, and the pricing reflects strong confidence in a home win. Our model, however, steers toward the total rather than the result, recommending Under 3.5 goals at 1.81 with market-implied confidence around 54%. It is worth noting the value edge on that pick is slightly negative at -3.0%, so it is a lean rather than a standout number. The most notable value flag actually falls on the draw, where the model sees a small positive edge.
Verdict: The model leans to Under 3.5 goals at 1.81, a moderate-confidence total supported by roughly 54% implied probability. Be aware the value edge is slightly negative at -3.0%, so it is a modest lean rather than a strong number. Stake responsibly and within your limits.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 2-0, for a flat-stake return of +0.81 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
L 16 Aug 26
Over 3.5 goalsfinal score 2-0
2.10 -1.00u L 16 Aug 26
Over 3.0 goalsfinal score 2-0
1.70 -1.00u Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?+
Our tip was Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.81.
Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?+
Colorado Rapids are clear favourites at 1.42, implying about a 70% chance. Sporting Kansas City are outsiders at 7.75, around 13% implied.
What is the draw priced at for this MLS match?+
The draw is available at 5.5, which implies roughly 18%. Our model puts its fair probability at 19%, giving a small positive edge of about 6.76%.
Is there any value in this fixture?+
The draw shows a modest positive edge of about 6.76% versus the market. The recommended Under 3.5 goals at 1.81 has a slightly negative edge of -3.0%, so it is a lean rather than strong value.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 2-0 (+0.81u at flat stakes).