English ⚽ MLS 🕒 16 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 3.5 goals
Odds
1.95
LostResult
2-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
50%Pre-match conf.
+1.04%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Chicago Fire are firm favourites at 1.69, implying about a 59% chance, versus Portland Timbers at 4.67, roughly 21%.
02
The draw is priced at 4.5, around 22% implied, so the market treats a stalemate and a Portland win as similarly unlikely.
03
The recommended Over 3.5 goals sits at 1.95 with market-implied confidence near 50%, effectively a coin-flip price on the total.
04
No value picks cleared the threshold, and the goals angle itself shows a -2.75% edge, meaning it is a preference rather than a value bet.
Team form
CF Chicago Fire LLDDD
20 Sept 26 @ Nashville SC 0-3
13 Sept 26 vs New England Revolution 1-2
10 Sept 26 vs Inter Miami CF 1-1
5 Sept 26 @ Toronto FC 4-4
22 Aug 26 @ New York Red Bulls 1-1
PT Portland Timbers LLDWD
20 Sept 26 vs Atlanta United FC 0-1
13 Sept 26 @ FC Dallas 1-2
10 Sept 26 vs St. Louis City SC 2-2
6 Sept 26 vs Minnesota United FC 5-4
23 Aug 26 @ Los Angeles FC 1-1
Head-to-head: Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers
W 16 Aug 26
Chicago Fire 2-1 Portland TimbersMLS
W/D/L shown from Chicago Fire's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers: pre-match preview
This MLS meeting sees Chicago Fire host Portland Timbers, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Chicago are priced at 1.69, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 59%, while Portland sit well out at 4.67, or about 21%. The draw is quoted at 4.5, near 22% in implied terms, underlining that the bookmakers expect the hosts to dictate. Those prices frame a clear home favourite rather than a coin-flip fixture. Our model, however, steers away from the match-result line and toward goals: the recommended angle is Over 3.5 goals at 1.95, a near even-money price carrying market-implied confidence of about 50%. It is worth noting the value edge here is slightly negative at -2.75%, so this is a preference call on the total rather than a flagged value spot. Read the sections below for how the numbers stack up before deciding on Chicago Fire versus Portland Timbers.
Verdict: The pick is Over 3.5 goals at 1.95, essentially an even-money bet on a high-scoring game. With a slightly negative value edge and around 50% implied confidence, treat this as a moderate-risk, preference-based play rather than a standout spot. Stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 2-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 16 Aug 26
Over 2.5 goalsfinal score 2-1
1.36 +0.36u Upcoming MLS fixtures
All MLS tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 23:00 | Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC | 1.49 | 5.80 | 6.50 |
| 24 Sept 01:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC | 2.82 | 4.00 | 2.48 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Atlanta United FC v New York City FC | 2.35 | 3.75 | 3.23 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Philadelphia Union v Orlando City SC | 1.53 | 5.26 | 6.30 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | CF Montreal v FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| 26 Sept 23:30 | Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire | 2.38 | 3.99 | 2.85 |
| 27 Sept 00:30 | Seattle Sounders FC v Minnesota United FC | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?+
Our tip was Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.95.
Who is the favourite for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?+
Chicago Fire are the market favourites at 1.69, an implied probability of about 59%. Portland Timbers are the outsiders at 4.67, roughly 21%.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 4.5 with Coolbet, which implies around a 22% chance. That is close to Portland's own win probability in the market.
Is there any value in this match?+
No selections cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 3.5 goals at 1.95 actually carries a -2.75% edge, so it is a preference on the total rather than a flagged value bet.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 2-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).