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Home/ Predictions/ La Liga/ CA Osasuna vs Levante

CA Osasuna vs Levante prediction

La Liga · Mon · 17:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.

Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work

Our prediction

La Liga 🕒 Mon · 17:30
Model lean
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
1.91
ⓘ Model lean, not an official pick — this fixture didn't clear our value threshold, so it isn't counted in the record
ConfidenceValue · 52%
AI Value edge -1.59% · best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet

Key factors behind our tip

01

Osasuna are the clear favourites at 1.76, implying roughly 57%, while Levante at 5.06 sit near 20%.

02

The draw is priced at 4.03, around 25% implied probability, a realistic outcome given the moderate favourite price.

03

Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 1.91 with about 52% confidence, but the value edge is marginally negative at -1.59%.

04

The flagged value pick is Levante at 5.06, with a fair probability estimate of 21% and a positive edge of 5.94% versus the market.

Most likely scorelines

Both teams to score: 53%
ScoreModel chanceFair odds
1-1 12.0% 8.34
1-0 10.9% 9.14
2-1 9.4% 10.66
2-0 8.6% 11.68
0-1 7.7% 13.05
0-0 7.0% 14.31

From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.56 and 1.09. These six scorelines cover 56% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.

Additional predictions

MarketOddsValue edgeConfidenceAI score
Levante to win 5.06 +6.4% 21% 58

Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.

Team form

CO CA Osasuna LLLLL
23 May 26 @ Getafe 0-1
17 May 26 vs Espanyol 1-2
12 May 26 vs Atleti 1-2
8 May 26 @ Levante 2-3
2 May 26 vs Barça 1-2
LEV Levante LWWWL
23 May 26 @ Real Betis 1-2
17 May 26 vs Mallorca 2-0
12 May 26 @ Celta 3-2
8 May 26 vs Osasuna 3-2
2 May 26 @ Villarreal 1-5

Head-to-head: CA Osasuna v Levante

Full H2H history →
L 8 May 26
Levante 3-2 OsasunaLa Liga
W 8 Dec 25
Osasuna 2-0 LevanteLa Liga

W/D/L shown from CA Osasuna's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.

Best odds across bookmakers

OutcomeBest priceBookmakerImplied
CA Osasuna 1.79 Betfair 55.9%
Levante 5.06 1xBet 19.8%
Draw 4.03 1xBet 24.8%

CA Osasuna vs Levante: match preview

Osasuna host Levante at El Sadar in this La Liga fixture, and the market leaves little doubt about the favoured side. Osasuna are priced at 1.76 with 1xBet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 57%. Levante, by contrast, are outsiders at 5.06, implying around 20%, while the draw sits at 4.03, or about 25% in probability terms. That is a clear gap in expectation, though not an overwhelming one, since the home price still leaves plenty of room for either a stalemate or an away upset. Our model's recommended angle steps away from the match result and looks instead at Over 2.5 goals at 1.91, with market-implied confidence around 52%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge on that goals line is slightly negative at -1.59%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price. The most flagged value spot on the outright market is actually Levante.

Verdict: The featured lean is Over 2.5 goals at 1.91, backed by around 52% model confidence but carrying a slightly negative value edge, so treat it as a modest angle rather than a strong price. The Levante outright at 5.06 offers the only positive edge here. Stake responsibly and within your means.

Upcoming La Liga fixtures

All La Liga tips →
Kick-off (UTC)Match1X2
15 Aug 17:30 Alavés v Getafe 2.55 2.94 3.78
15 Aug 19:30 Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano 2.36 3.37 3.55
16 Aug 15:00 Real Racing Club de Santander v Villarreal 3.50 3.65 2.17
16 Aug 17:00 Espanyol v Levante 2.11 3.50 4.00
16 Aug 19:30 Celta Vigo v CA Osasuna 2.12 3.55 3.90
17 Aug 19:00 Deportivo La Coruña v Elche CF 2.38 3.33 3.55
19 Aug 19:00 Atlético Madrid v Málaga 1.34 5.63 12.50
20 Aug 19:00 Rayo Vallecano v Alavés 2.14 3.29 4.42

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Primera Division standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Barça 38 31 1 6 +59 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
4 Atleti 38 21 6 11 +18 69
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
6 Celta 38 14 12 12 +5 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
12 Athletic 38 13 6 19 -15 45
13 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
14 Alavés 38 11 10 17 -12 43
15 Sevilla FC 38 12 7 19 -14 43
16 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
17 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
18 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29

Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.

Match FAQ

What is the prediction for CA Osasuna vs Levante?+

Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.91, with a 52% confidence rating.

Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Levante?+

Osasuna are the favourites at 1.76 with 1xBet, an implied probability of about 57%. Levante are the outsiders at 5.06, roughly 20%.

What are the draw odds for this match?+

The draw is priced at 4.03 with 1xBet, which equates to an implied probability of around 25%.

Is there any betting value in this fixture?+

According to our model, Levante at 5.06 carries a positive value edge of 5.94% against a fair probability of 21%. The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.91 has a slightly negative edge of -1.59%, so it is a lean rather than a value play.

When does the match kick off?+

CA Osasuna vs Levante takes place Mon · 17:30 in the La Liga.