League One · Sat · 14:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Bradford City are firm favourites at 1.76, implying roughly a 57% chance, with Peterborough well adrift at 5.2 (about 19%).
The draw is priced at 3.94, equivalent to around a 25% implied probability, a fairly standard middle option.
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.85 sits at about 52% implied confidence but carries a negative value edge of -4.59%, making it a modest lean.
Peterborough at 5.2 is flagged as the value angle, with a fair probability of 21% pointing to a positive edge of about 9.27%.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford City | 1.76 | LeoVegas (SE) | 56.8% |
| Peterborough United | 5.10 | Marathon Bet | 19.6% |
| Draw | 3.95 | Pinnacle | 25.3% |
Bradford City host Peterborough United in this League One clash, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. At 1.76 with LeoVegas, Bradford are priced as clear home favourites, translating to an implied probability of roughly 57%. Peterborough are the outsiders at 5.2, worth around 19% in market terms, while the draw sits at 3.94, or about 25%. Our model, however, points away from the match result and towards the goals market: Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.85, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 52%. That pick shows a slight negative value edge of -4.59%, so it is a lean rather than a standout price. The one spot where our numbers find genuine value on the result is Peterborough at 5.2, where a fair probability of 21% suggests a positive edge of around 9.27%. Both angles are covered below.
Verdict: The model's headline pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.85, a coin-flip proposition at roughly 52% confidence but with a slightly negative value edge, so treat it as a lean rather than a strong call. The bolder value play is Peterborough at 5.2. Stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 11:30 | Notts County v Leicester City | 3.75 | 3.45 | 2.08 |
| 15 Aug 11:30 | Reading v Luton | 3.32 | 3.45 | 2.23 |
| 15 Aug 11:30 | Oxford United v Milton Keynes Dons | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.51 |
| 15 Aug 14:00 | Huddersfield Town v Wimbledon | 1.63 | 4.09 | 5.06 |
| 15 Aug 14:00 | Plymouth Argyle v Stockport County FC | 2.29 | 3.45 | 3.09 |
| 15 Aug 14:00 | Blackpool v Wycombe Wanderers | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
| 15 Aug 14:00 | Barnsley v Bromley FC | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.92 |
| 15 Aug 14:00 | Leyton Orient v Sheffield Wednesday | 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.53 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.85, with a 52% confidence rating.
Bradford City are the market favourites at 1.76, implying about a 57% chance. Peterborough United are the outsiders at 5.2, roughly 19%.
The draw is priced at 3.94 with Pinnacle, which equates to an implied probability of around 25%.
Our model identifies Peterborough United at 5.2 as the value pick, with a fair probability of 21% and an edge of about 9.27%. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 actually shows a slightly negative edge of -4.59%.
Bradford City vs Peterborough United takes place Sat · 14:00 in the League One.
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