League One · kicked off 15 Aug 2026 — the tip we published before the match and how it settled.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Blackpool are narrow favourites at 2.63 (about 38% implied), just ahead of Wycombe at 2.85 (about 35%), a very small pricing gap.
The draw at 3.45 implies around 29%, underlining how evenly the market rates this fixture.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.92 sits at roughly 52% market-implied confidence, a near coin-flip on total goals.
The value edge on the recommended bet is -1.09%, so the price is close to fair rather than a clear market inefficiency.
W/D/L shown from Blackpool's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
This League One clash sees Blackpool host Wycombe Wanderers, and the match-result market frames it as a genuinely tight contest. Blackpool are the marginal favourites at 2.63, which implies a win probability of roughly 38%, while Wycombe sit close behind at 2.85, or about 35% in implied terms. The draw is priced at 3.45, translating to around 29%, reflecting how open the bookmakers view this one. The gap between the two sides is slim, so there is no strong steer from the prices toward either team. Rather than the outcome market, our model leans toward the goals line: Under 2.5 goals at 1.92 carries a market-implied confidence of about 52%. It is worth noting the value edge here is slightly negative at -1.09%, meaning the odds are roughly fair rather than an obvious overlay. Approach the fixture accordingly and keep stakes within a sensible bankroll.
Verdict: The model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.92, backed by about 52% implied confidence. With a slightly negative value edge, this is closer to a fair-priced lean than a standout bet. Treat it as a modest-confidence play and stake responsibly, as the goals market remains a genuine toss-up.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Wycombe Wanderers v Reading | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.73 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Bradford City v Barnsley | 1.78 | 3.75 | 4.30 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley FC | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Doncaster Rovers v Oxford United | 2.03 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Cambridge United v Wimbledon | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday | 2.95 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Notts County v Blackpool | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| 26 Sept 14:00 | Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion | 1.64 | 4.05 | 5.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip was Wycombe Wanderers to win at odds of 2.88.
Blackpool are the slight favourites at 2.63, implying roughly a 38% chance, marginally ahead of Wycombe at 2.85 (about 35%). The gap is small, so neither side is strongly favoured.
The draw is priced at 3.45 with LeoVegas (SE), which implies around a 29% probability. That reflects a fairly open, evenly matched fixture.
No value pick cleared our threshold here. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.92 actually shows a value edge of -1.09%, meaning the price is close to fair rather than an overlay.
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).
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