English ⚽ J1 League 🕒 19 Sept 2026
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
2.00
WonResult
0-1Final score
+1.00uProfit
55%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Hiroshima Sanfrecce are priced at 1.9, implying roughly a 53 percent chance of victory, the shortest price on offer in this match.
02
Avispa Fukuoka's 4.0 odds imply only about a 25 percent win probability, positioning them as clear underdogs in the market.
03
The draw at 3.77 implies close to 26.5 percent, sitting between the two win probabilities and reflecting a moderately competitive expectation despite the favourite tag.
04
The recommended Over 2.75 goals bet at 1.98 carries a 47 percent implied confidence but a -7.39 percent value edge, meaning the model does not see it as priced favourably against consensus.
Team form
AF Avispa Fukuoka LLDLL
19 Sept 26 vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 0-1
12 Sept 26 @ Shimizu S Pulse 0-1
5 Sept 26 vs Mito HollyHock 1-1
2 Sept 26 vs Urawa Red Diamonds 2-3
22 Aug 26 @ Kashima Antlers 2-3
HSF Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC WWLWD
19 Sept 26 @ Avispa Fukuoka 1-0
12 Sept 26 vs Cerezo Osaka 6-1
6 Sept 26 @ Fagiano Okayama 2-3
2 Sept 26 vs Nagoya Grampus 3-0
22 Aug 26 vs Kawasaki Frontale 1-1
Head-to-head: Avispa Fukuoka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
L 19 Sept 26
Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FCJ1 League
W/D/L shown from Avispa Fukuoka's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC: pre-match preview
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC head into this J1 League fixture against Avispa Fukuoka as clear market favourites, with odds of 1.9 implying a win probability of roughly 53 percent. Avispa Fukuoka, priced at 4.0, are seen as considerably weaker on paper, translating to an implied chance of about 25 percent, while the draw at 3.77 sits close behind at around 26.5 percent. That gap between favourite and underdog is one of the widest markers in this preview, suggesting bookmakers expect Hiroshima to control large parts of the match. Away from the result market, our model flags Over 2.75 goals at 1.98 as its recommended angle, carrying a market-implied confidence of 47 percent. It's worth noting this pick shows a negative value edge of -7.39 percent versus market consensus, so it should be treated as a data-driven suggestion rather than a standout opportunity.
Verdict: The data points to Hiroshima Sanfrecce as the stronger side by market pricing, though no result-market selection reaches value threshold. The Over 2.75 goals pick at 1.98 is offered as the model's lead angle, but its negative edge signals limited value, so it should be approached cautiously and with sensible stake sizing.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 0-1, for a flat-stake return of +1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
W 19 Sept 26
Under 2.75 goalsfinal score 0-1
1.84 +0.84u Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC?+
Our tip was Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00.
Who is favourite in the Avispa Fukuoka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce match?+
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC are favourites at odds of 1.9, implying a win probability of around 53 percent, compared with Avispa Fukuoka's 4.0 price and roughly 25 percent implied chance.
What are the odds for a draw in this J1 League fixture?+
The draw is priced at 3.77, which implies a probability of about 26.5 percent based on the odds supplied.
Is there a value bet for Avispa Fukuoka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce?+
No result-market selection is listed above the value threshold. The only recommended bet is Over 2.75 goals at 1.98, though it shows a negative value edge of -7.39 percent, meaning it is not flagged as a strong value opportunity.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 0-1 (+1.00u at flat stakes).