Greek Super League ยท Sun ยท 17:15 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.6% | 7.91 |
| 0-1 | 11.1% | 8.98 |
| 1-0 | 9.1% | 10.99 |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 11.40 |
| 0-0 | 8.0% | 12.47 |
| 0-2 | 7.7% | 12.95 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.14 and 1.39. These six scorelines cover 57% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos Athens to win | 6.00 | +5.8% | 18% | 56 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip โ every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท AA | X | 2 ยท PT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 5.75 | 4.20 | 1.58 |
| Pinnacle | 5.54 | 4.08 | 1.57 |
| 1xBet | 5.35 | 4.05 | 1.58 |
| Betsson | 5.35 | 3.84 | 1.58 |
| Tipico | 6.00 | 3.80 | 1.52 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20 | 3.80 | 1.56 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
PAOK Thessaloniki travel to face Atromitos Athens in this Greek Super League fixture as clear favourites in the eyes of the market. Betsson price the visitors at 1.62, which implies roughly a 62% chance of a PAOK win before any margin is stripped out. Atromitos are rated genuine outsiders at 6.0, translating to about 17% implied probability, while the draw sits at 3.85, or around 26%. That spread of prices points to a match where the bookmakers expect PAOK to control proceedings, without treating an upset as impossible. Our model, however, steers away from the result market and toward the goals line. The recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.78, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 54%. It is worth noting the value edge here is slightly negative at -4.73%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Verdict:
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 16:30 | Volos FC v Iraklis FC | 2.09 | 3.15 | 3.84 |
| 29 Aug 18:30 | Panetolikos Agrinio v Kalamata FC | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.52 |
| 30 Aug 16:30 | Aris Thessaloniki v OFI Crete | 1.71 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| 30 Aug 18:00 | Asteras Tripolis v Olympiakos Piraeus | 10.50 | 4.96 | 1.37 |
| 30 Aug 18:00 | AE Kifisia FC v AEK Athens | 8.75 | 4.92 | 1.38 |
| 31 Aug 16:30 | Levadiakos v Panathinaikos | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.02, with a 48% confidence rating.
Atromitos Athens vs PAOK Thessaloniki takes place Sun ยท 17:15 in the Greek Super League.
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