English ⚽ Liga Profesional 🕒 Sun · 00:30
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.60
★ Official pick — published to our graded record · backed by our goal model
ConfidenceMedium · 64%
AI Value edge 3.1% · best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
Huracán's 1.93 price implies roughly a 52 percent win probability, the strongest signal in this market.
02
The draw at 3.15 sits closer to Aldosivi's price than Huracán's, reflecting the gap in perceived strength between the two sides.
03
Aldosivi's 4.6 price implies only around 22 percent, making them a clear outsider according to the market.
04
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.37 carries a negative value edge of -5.2 percent, meaning the model does not see it as favourably priced despite its 40 percent implied confidence.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 31%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 20.3% | 4.91 |
| 0-0 | 15.5% | 6.44 |
| 2-0 | 13.3% | 7.50 |
| 1-1 | 11.2% | 8.90 |
| 0-1 | 8.6% | 11.67 |
| 2-1 | 7.4% | 13.59 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.31 and 0.55. These six scorelines cover 76% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
AH Atlético Huracán WWDDL
19 Sept 26 @ River Plate 2-1
14 Sept 26 vs Racing Club 2-1
4 Sept 26 @ Belgrano de Cordoba 1-1
23 Aug 26 vs Deportivo Riestra 0-0
16 Aug 26 @ Sarmiento de Junin 0-2
AMD Aldosivi Mar del Plata LWLLD
12 Sept 26 @ Independiente Rivadavia 3-4
5 Sept 26 vs Banfield 3-1
30 Aug 26 @ Argentinos Juniors 1-2
21 Aug 26 vs Union Santa Fe 1-3
15 Aug 26 vs CA Tigre BA 0-0
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 · AH | X | 2 · AMD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 3.52 | 6.89 |
| Nordic Bet | 1.60 | 3.60 | 6.30 |
| Betsson | 1.60 | 3.60 | 6.30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57 | 3.44 | 6.75 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49 | 3.35 | 6.00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48 | 3.25 | 5.90 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Atlético Huracán vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata: match preview
Atlético Huracán host Aldosivi Mar del Plata in a Liga Profesional fixture where the betting market gives a clear signal on the likely outcome. Best prices make Huracán the favourite at 1.93, which implies a probability of roughly 52 percent for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.15 (about 32 percent), while Aldosivi's 4.6 price points to only around 22 percent. Those numbers show a real gap between the two sides, with the market leaning firmly toward the hosts, though the implied probabilities also carry the standard bookmaker margin. Away from the match-result market, the site's model flags Over 2.5 goals at 2.37 as its recommended angle, though this comes with a market-implied confidence of 40 percent and a value edge of -5.2 percent, meaning the model itself sees this as a below-average value proposition rather than a clear-cut opportunity.
Verdict: The model's Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.37 is offered with a negative value edge of -5.2 percent, indicating the market price is not clearly favourable by the model's own metric. Bettors considering this angle should treat it as a moderate-risk option rather than a strong value play, and size stakes accordingly.
Upcoming Liga Profesional fixtures
All Liga Profesional tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 17:45 | San Lorenzo v Boca Juniors | 17.50 | 3.10 | 1.65 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Platense v Newells Old Boys | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.95 |
| 20 Sept 20:00 | Rosario Central v Argentinos Juniors | 2.08 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| 20 Sept 22:15 | Belgrano de Cordoba v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.48 | 4.20 | 10.50 |
| 21 Sept 00:30 | Velez Sarsfield BA v CA Tigre BA | 2.36 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| 21 Sept 17:30 | Aldosivi Mar del Plata v Atlético Tucuman | 3.35 | 2.98 | 2.58 |
| 21 Sept 22:00 | Barracas Central v Independiente Rivadavia | 3.45 | 3.01 | 2.50 |
| 22 Sept 00:15 | Lanus v Estudiantes | 2.26 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for Atlético Huracán vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata?+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.60, with a 64% confidence rating.
Who is favourite in the Atlético Huracán vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata match?+
Atlético Huracán are the clear favourites, priced at 1.93, which implies roughly a 52 percent chance of winning according to the market.
What is the draw priced at for this Liga Profesional fixture?+
The draw is priced at 3.15, implying an approximate 32 percent probability, sitting between the two teams' win probabilities.
Is there value in this fixture according to the model?+
No standout value picks were identified against market consensus. The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 2.37 actually carries a negative value edge of -5.2 percent, so it is not flagged as a strong value opportunity.
When does the match kick off?+
Atlético Huracán vs Aldosivi Mar del Plata takes place Sun · 00:30 in the Liga Profesional.