Liga MX · Sat · 01:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Sep 20, 2026 · how we work
Monterrey are priced as clear favourites at 2.05, implying roughly a 48.8 percent chance of victory according to the market.
Atlante FC sit at 3.1 (about 32.3 percent implied) and the draw is priced at 3.6 (about 27.8 percent implied), showing a competitive but not tightly matched contest.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.53 carries a stated market-implied confidence of 60 percent.
This same Over 2.5 pick shows a negative value edge of -7.65 percent, meaning the model's fair-price assessment is less favourable than the odds on offer, so it should not be treated as a standout value play.
No selections in the value-picks list met the site's threshold for this fixture, underlining that the market's pricing is seen as broadly efficient here.
| Bookmaker | 1 · AF | X | 2 · MON |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 3.81 | 3.82 | 1.90 |
| Pinnacle | 3.65 | 3.80 | 1.94 |
| GTbets | 3.66 | 3.79 | 1.92 |
| Coolbet | 3.60 | 3.85 | 1.92 |
| Nordic Bet | 3.55 | 3.60 | 1.92 |
| Betsson | 3.55 | 3.60 | 1.92 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
Liga MX action pairs Atlante FC with Monterrey, and the betting market leaves little doubt about who starts as favourite. Monterrey's best price of 2.05 with Unibet (NL) implies a win probability of roughly 48.8 percent, comfortably ahead of Atlante's 3.1 (about 32.3 percent) and the draw at 3.6 (about 27.8 percent). Those numbers point to a fixture where the away side is expected to control proceedings more often than not, though the gap is not so wide that an Atlante result or a draw is dismissed by the market. Away from the match-result market, the site's model highlights Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 as its recommended angle, carrying a market-implied confidence of 60 percent. Notably, this pick shows a negative value edge of -7.65 percent versus market consensus, a detail bettors should weigh carefully before staking.
Verdict: The Over 2.5 goals selection at 1.53 is the only recommended angle here, with a 60 percent implied confidence but a negative edge against market consensus. It is a reasonable, moderate-risk lean rather than a strong value case, so bettors should size stakes conservatively and treat it as one input among many.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Pachuca v Tijuana | 1.76 | 4.06 | 5.10 |
| 21 Sept 00:00 | Toluca v Santos Laguna | 1.27 | 7.60 | 11.00 |
| 21 Sept 02:10 | Querétaro v León | 2.72 | 3.60 | 2.74 |
| 26 Sept 03:00 | Tijuana v Atlas | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| 26 Sept 23:00 | Cruz Azul v Toluca | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| 26 Sept 23:07 | Guadalajara v Querétaro | 1.41 | 4.60 | 6.25 |
| 27 Sept 01:00 | Tigres v Puebla | 1.50 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
| 27 Sept 01:00 | Santos Laguna v Pachuca | 3.45 | 3.55 | 1.93 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.35, with a 41% confidence rating.
Monterrey are the market favourites, priced at 2.05 with Unibet (NL), which implies roughly a 48.8 percent win probability, compared with about 32.3 percent for Atlante FC.
The draw is priced at 3.6, implying a probability of around 27.8 percent, making it the least likely single outcome according to the market.
The site lists no value picks above its threshold for this match. The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.53 actually carries a negative value edge of -7.65 percent, so it is more of a model lean than a clear value opportunity.
Atlante FC vs Monterrey takes place Sat · 01:00 in the Liga MX.
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