English ⚽ Serie A 🕒 24 Aug 2026
Our tip
Over 2.5 goals
Odds
1.95
VoidResult
0.00uProfit
51%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at 1xBet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Roma at 1.62 are strong favourites, with the price implying roughly a 62% chance of a home win.
02
Fiorentina at 6.6 are firmly the underdogs, implying only about 15%, a wide gap from the hosts.
03
The draw is priced at 4.4, implying near 23%, a fairly standard price for a match with a clear favourite.
04
The only flagged value is Under 2.5 goals at 2.0, with a slim edge of about 3.61% and implied confidence near 52%.
Team form
AR AS Roma DWWWW
19 Sept 26 vs Inter 2-2
14 Sept 26 @ Torino 2-0
5 Sept 26 vs Atalanta 2-1
31 Aug 26 @ Lecce 4-0
24 Aug 26 vs Fiorentina 4-0
FIO Fiorentina DWLLL
20 Sept 26 vs Napoli 1-1
11 Sept 26 @ Venezia FC 4-2
5 Sept 26 vs Torino 1-2
29 Aug 26 vs Frosinone 0-3
24 Aug 26 @ Roma 0-4
Head-to-head: AS Roma v Fiorentina
Full H2H history → W 24 Aug 26
Roma 4-0 FiorentinaSerie A
W 4 May 26
Roma 4-0 FiorentinaSerie A
W 5 Oct 25
Fiorentina 1-2 RomaSerie A
W/D/L shown from AS Roma's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
AS Roma vs Fiorentina: pre-match preview
Serie A brings AS Roma against Fiorentina, and the market leaves little doubt about which way it leans. Roma are priced at 1.62 with Unibet (SE), which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 62% before any margin is stripped out. Fiorentina are the clear outsiders at 6.6 on Betfair, implying around 15%, while the draw sits at 4.4 with Tipico, or about 23%. That is a sizeable gap between the two sides in the eyes of the bookmakers. Rather than backing the match result, though, our model steers toward the goals market. It recommends Under 2.5 goals at 2.0 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence near 52% and a modest value edge of about 3.61%. In other words, the value here lies not in picking the winner but in the expectation of a tighter, lower-scoring contest between Roma and Fiorentina.
Verdict: The recommended play is Under 2.5 goals at 2.0, backed by a small value edge of around 3.61% and roughly even implied confidence. It is close to a coin flip by the numbers, so treat it as a modest-edge selection rather than a strong lean, and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
V 24 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsSerie A
2.00 0.00u V 22 Aug 26
Under 2.5 goalsVoid — fixture rescheduled and re-listed
1.88 0.00u Upcoming Serie A fixtures
All Serie A tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 18:45 | AC Milan v Lecce | 1.26 | 6.60 | 16.00 |
| 10 Oct 13:00 | Genoa v Fiorentina | 3.25 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
| 10 Oct 16:00 | Inter Milan v Parma | 1.14 | 10.60 | 22.00 |
| 10 Oct 18:45 | Napoli v Frosinone | 1.49 | 4.94 | 7.50 |
| 11 Oct 10:30 | Como v AS Roma | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.88 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lecce v Bologna | 4.21 | 3.50 | 2.08 |
| 11 Oct 13:00 | Lazio v Monza | 1.77 | 3.81 | 5.40 |
| 11 Oct 16:00 | Sassuolo v AC Milan | 4.58 | 3.93 | 1.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Serie A standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Milan | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?+
Our tip was Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95.
Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?+
AS Roma are the favourites at 1.62, which implies about a 62% chance of a home win. Fiorentina are the outsiders at 6.6.
What is the draw priced at?+
The draw is available at 4.4 with Tipico, implying roughly a 23% chance of the match ending level.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
The only pick above our threshold is Under 2.5 goals at 2.0, with a value edge of about 3.61% and market-implied confidence near 52%. No match-result selection cleared the value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).