Greek Super League · Sat · 17:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
AEK Athens are priced at 1.18, an implied probability near 85%, marking them as strong favourites.
Iraklis FC at 15.0 imply only about 7%, while the draw at 6.4 sits around 16%.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.62 carries roughly 58% implied confidence.
The value edge on that goals pick is negative (-5.81%), so it is a modest lean, not a clear overlay.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens | 1.18 | Betsson | 84.7% |
| Iraklis FC | 15.00 | Betsson | 6.7% |
| Draw | 6.40 | Betsson | 15.6% |
AEK Athens open as heavy favourites at home to Iraklis FC in this Greek Super League fixture, with a match-result price of 1.18 at Betsson. That short quote translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 85%, leaving Iraklis a distant outsider at 15.0 (around 7%) and the draw priced at 6.4 (about 16%). The gap between the two sides is about as wide as the market gets, and the odds clearly reflect that expectation. Because the win market offers little room for value on the favourite, our model looks instead at goals. The recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.62, carried at roughly 58% implied confidence. It is worth noting the calculated value edge is negative at -5.81%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price. In short, the AEK Athens vs Iraklis FC market points to a one-sided contest, and our interest sits on the total rather than the result.
Verdict: The model leans to Over 2.5 goals at 1.62, reflecting an expectation of an open, goal-friendly game given AEK's dominance in the pricing. With a negative value edge of -5.81%, treat this as a low-conviction angle rather than a strong bet, and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 17:00 | Kalamata FC v Aris Thessaloniki | 4.04 | 3.25 | 2.08 |
| 22 Aug 19:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus v Atromitos Athens | 1.23 | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| 23 Aug 16:30 | OFI Crete v Volos FC | 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| 23 Aug 18:00 | Panathinaikos v AE Kifisia FC | 1.26 | 5.50 | 15.00 |
| 23 Aug 18:00 | PAOK Thessaloniki v Levadiakos | 1.30 | 5.25 | 12.00 |
| 23 Aug 18:30 | Panetolikos Agrinio v Asteras Tripolis | 2.62 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.62, with a 58% confidence rating.
AEK Athens are clear favourites at 1.18, an implied probability of around 85%. Iraklis FC are the outsiders at 15.0.
The draw is priced at 6.4 with Betsson, which implies roughly a 16% chance.
No value pick cleared our threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 actually shows a negative edge of -5.81%, so it is only a modest lean.
AEK Athens vs Iraklis FC takes place Sat · 17:00 in the Greek Super League.
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