English ⚽ La Liga 2 🕒 20 Sept 2026
Our tip
AD Ceuta FC to win
Odds
2.90
LostResult
1-1Final score
-1.00uProfit
37%Pre-match conf.
+5.84%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Pinnacle
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Real Valladolid carry the shorter price at 2.63, implying roughly 38% probability, making them the market's nominal favourite over Ceuta.
02
AD Ceuta FC are priced at 2.9 (about 34.5% implied), a gap of only a few percentage points from Valladolid, pointing to a closely rated contest.
03
The draw at 3.5 implies close to 28.5%, a meaningful share that keeps this from being a one-sided match on paper.
04
The model's 8.51% value edge on Ceuta at 2.9 is the only pick clearing the value threshold, with no other selections flagged as value plays.
Team form
ACF AD Ceuta FC DLLLL
20 Sept 26 vs Real Valladolid CF 1-1
11 Sept 26 @ Burgos CF 1-3
5 Sept 26 vs Celta Fortuna 0-2
30 Aug 26 @ Mallorca 0-3
22 Aug 26 vs Las Palmas 0-2
RVC Real Valladolid CF DLWDL
20 Sept 26 @ AD Ceuta FC 1-1
13 Sept 26 vs Oviedo 0-3
5 Sept 26 vs Andorra CF 1-0
30 Aug 26 @ Cádiz CF 1-1
23 Aug 26 @ SD Eibar 0-1
Head-to-head: AD Ceuta FC v Real Valladolid CF
D 20 Sept 26
AD Ceuta FC 1-1 Real Valladolid CFLa Liga 2
W/D/L shown from AD Ceuta FC's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid CF: pre-match preview
La Liga 2 side AD Ceuta FC host Real Valladolid CF in a fixture where the market sees little separating the two sides. Best available prices have Valladolid at 2.63 with Unibet, Ceuta at 2.9 with Pinnacle, and the draw at 3.5 with 1xBet. Converting those to raw implied probabilities gives Valladolid roughly 38%, Ceuta around 34.5%, and the draw about 28.5%, with the overround reflecting bookmaker margin rather than a firm forecast. Despite Valladolid holding a narrow edge on paper, our model flags Ceuta at 2.9 as the recommended play, assigning it a 37% confidence level and identifying an 8.51% value edge against the market consensus. No other selections in this match clear our value threshold, so this remains a single, moderate-conviction angle rather than a clear-cut favourite scenario.
Verdict: Ceuta to win at 2.9 is the only data-backed value angle here, built on an 8.51% edge and 37% model confidence rather than a strong favourite tag. With Valladolid actually priced shorter by the market, this remains a moderate-risk contrarian selection best sized cautiously within a broader bankroll plan.
How it settled: the tip did not land — the match finished 1-1, for a flat-stake return of -1.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming La Liga 2 fixtures
All La Liga 2 tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sept 19:00 | Leganés v Granada CF | 2.20 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| 25 Sept 18:30 | Girona FC v Albacete | 1.58 | 4.54 | 5.75 |
| 26 Sept 12:00 | AD Ceuta FC v Real Sociedad B | 2.30 | 3.67 | 3.05 |
| 26 Sept 14:15 | Granada CF v Andorra CF | 2.32 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| 26 Sept 16:30 | Celta Fortuna v Sabadell FC | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.28 |
| 26 Sept 16:30 | Tenerife v Cádiz CF | 1.82 | 3.63 | 5.50 |
| 27 Sept 12:00 | Real Valladolid CF v Córdoba | 2.33 | 3.57 | 3.18 |
| 27 Sept 14:15 | Mallorca v Almería | 2.07 | 3.51 | 3.99 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid CF?+
Our tip was AD Ceuta FC to win at odds of 2.90.
Who is the betting favourite between AD Ceuta FC and Real Valladolid CF?+
Based on the odds, Real Valladolid are the narrow market favourite at 2.63, implying about 38% probability, compared with Ceuta's 2.9 (roughly 34.5%).
What is the draw priced at in this La Liga 2 fixture?+
The best available draw price is 3.5 with 1xBet, which implies a probability of roughly 28.5%.
Is there value in backing AD Ceuta FC to win?+
Our model identifies Ceuta at 2.9 as a value selection, citing an 8.51% edge and 37% confidence, even though Valladolid hold a shorter price in the raw market.
Did the tip win?+
The tip lost — final score 1-1 (-1.00u at flat stakes).