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Correct Score explained

Predicting the exact final scoreline — long odds, high variance, margin-heavy.

Correct score asks for the precise final result — 2–1, 0–0, 3–3 — with each scoreline priced individually, mostly at long odds. Because probability is spread across twenty-plus plausible scorelines, even the most likely single score (often 1–1 or 1–0) rarely exceeds a 12–13% chance.

The market's margins are typically among the widest a bookmaker offers, and variance is extreme: correct-score records swing wildly on tiny samples. Treat it as a fun, small-stakes market rather than a value strategy. If you have a genuine view on a game's goal pattern, the totals or BTTS markets usually express the same opinion at fairer prices.

Worked example

A 2–1 priced at 9.00 implies 11.1%. Poisson-style models with realistic scoring rates rarely put any scoreline much above 13% — so the price needs to be north of 7.70 before value is even conceivable.

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