Line moves in Bundesliga
League tips →| Match | Market | Opened | Now | Move | Kick-off |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04 | Under 3.0 goals | 1.95 | 1.85 | -5.1% | Sun · 15:30 |
| Augsburg v Bayern Munich | Under 4.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.92 | -3% | Sat · 13:30 |
| Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen | Under 3.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.93 | +1.6% | Fri · 18:30 |
"Opened" is the first price we tracked for our tip's market, not the bookmaker's true opening line. Snapshots run at pipeline frequency, so moves between refreshes are invisible — treat these as a floor on the real movement.
Reading Bundesliga line moves
A shortening price is later money agreeing with the pick; a drifting one is the market moving away. Neither is a command — a price that shortened has, by definition, already paid out part of its value to whoever took it early. The practical use is timing: competitions whose lines move a lot between our refreshes reward taking a good price early rather than waiting for kick-off.
Each match links to its full page, where the model's own probability sits next to the odds comparison — the two numbers that decide whether the current price, moved or not, is still worth taking. The aggregate movement patterns across all leagues live in our line-movement study.