Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
Charlton Athletic are the favourites at 2.36 (about 42% implied), but the margin over Preston is modest.
Preston North End at 3.4 and the draw at 3.4 share the same price, each implying roughly 29%.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals pick at 2.15 sits at around 44% market-implied confidence.
The value edge on that Over 2.5 selection is negative at -5.69%, and no value picks cleared the threshold versus market consensus.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 47%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.1% | 7.61 |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | 8.42 |
| 0-1 | 10.7% | 9.39 |
| 0-0 | 9.6% | 10.41 |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | 12.33 |
| 2-0 | 7.3% | 13.64 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.23 and 1.11. These six scorelines cover 61% of all outcomes โ the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
Head-to-head: Charlton Athletic v Preston North End
Full H2H history โW/D/L shown from Charlton Athletic's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท CA | X | 2 ยท PNE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| Matchbook | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.21 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20 | 3.32 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.32 | 3.42 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End: match preview
This Championship clash sees Charlton Athletic host Preston North End, and the market has a clear lean toward the home side. Charlton are priced at 2.36 with 1xBet, which implies roughly a 42% chance of victory. Preston are the outsiders here at 3.4, translating to around 29% in probability terms, while the draw is matched at that same 3.4 price, also about 29%. That pricing paints a competitive contest with Charlton favoured but far from dominant, and the tie for second-shortest price between an away win and a draw underlines the uncertainty. Rather than picking a side, our model looks to the goals market: Over 2.5 goals at 2.15 with 1xBet, carrying a market-implied confidence of around 44%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge on that selection is negative at -5.69%, so it is a lean rather than a standout edge in this Charlton Athletic versus Preston North End fixture.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 2.5 goals at 2.15, reflecting a roughly 44% implied chance of an open game. With a negative value edge of -5.69% and no picks clearing the value threshold, treat this as a modest lean, not a strong edge, and stake responsibly.
Upcoming Championship fixtures
All Championship tips โ| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 19:00 | Wrexham AFC v Birmingham City | 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.97 |
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v Stoke City | 1.52 | 4.75 | 6.95 |
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Derby County v Swansea City | 2.36 | 3.42 | 3.25 |
| 29 Aug 11:30 | Middlesbrough v West Bromwich Albion | 1.81 | 4.03 | 4.87 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Cardiff City v Sheffield United | 2.63 | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Norwich City v Burnley | 2.48 | 3.75 | 2.95 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Watford v West Ham United | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.97 |
| 29 Aug 14:00 | Southampton v Millwall | 1.98 | 3.75 | 4.15 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Championship standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 | Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | Bolton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Derby County | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Preston NE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Lincoln City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Stoke | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 | Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | -1 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.20, with a 44% confidence rating.
Charlton Athletic are favourites at 2.36 with 1xBet, implying about a 42% chance. Preston North End are the outsiders at 3.4, around 29%.
The draw is available at 3.4 with Coolbet, which implies roughly a 29% probability, level with the odds on a Preston win.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.15 actually shows a negative value edge of -5.69%, so it is a lean rather than a clear-value bet.
Charlton Athletic vs Preston North End takes place Sat ยท 14:00 in the Championship.