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Hausa 
አማርኛ ⚽ La Liga 🕒 Mon · 17:30
Our tip
Under 2.5 goals
Odds
1.59
★ Official pick — published to our graded record · backed by our goal model
ConfidenceMedium · 66%
AI Value edge 4.3% · best price at 1xBet
Bet at 1xBet Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
01
Osasuna are favourites at 2.22 (about 45% implied), but the margin over the draw and Getafe is modest rather than commanding.
02
Getafe are the longest price at 4.0, implying roughly 25%, with our model assigning a fair probability of 26% and a small value edge of 3.3%.
03
The draw at 3.35 sits close to Getafe's outright chance, underlining an evenly poised market.
04
Our recommended pick, Under 2.5 goals at 1.63, shows a 4.66% value edge and around 64% implied confidence, favouring a lower-scoring outcome.
Most likely scorelines
Both teams to score: 36%| Score | Model chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 16.7% | 5.97 |
| 0-0 | 15.3% | 6.52 |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | 7.63 |
| 0-1 | 12.0% | 8.33 |
| 2-0 | 9.1% | 10.94 |
| 2-1 | 7.2% | 13.97 |
From the same Poisson distribution behind our 1X2 and totals numbers, built on expected goals of 1.09 and 0.78. These six scorelines cover 73% of all outcomes — the rest is spread thinly across dozens of possibilities, which is why correct-score betting is a longshot even when the model is right about the shape of the game.
Team form
CO CA Osasuna LLLLL
23 May 26 @ Getafe 0-1
17 May 26 vs Espanyol 1-2
12 May 26 vs Atleti 1-2
8 May 26 @ Levante 2-3
2 May 26 vs Barça 1-2
GET Getafe WLWLW
23 Aug 26 vs Santander 1-0
15 Aug 26 @ Alavés 0-3
23 May 26 vs Osasuna 1-0
17 May 26 @ Elche 0-1
13 May 26 vs Mallorca 3-1
Head-to-head: CA Osasuna v Getafe
Full H2H history → L 23 May 26
Getafe 1-0 OsasunaLa Liga
W 3 Oct 25
Osasuna 2-1 GetafeLa Liga
W/D/L shown from CA Osasuna's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Best odds across bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 · CO | X | 2 · GET |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.29 | 3.81 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16 | 3.25 | 3.95 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19 | 3.24 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 2.16 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.26 | 3.83 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin — the sharpest price-setters first — not alphabetically.
CA Osasuna vs Getafe: match preview
This La Liga clash at El Sadar sees CA Osasuna hosting Getafe, and the market leans clearly towards the home side. Osasuna's price of 2.22 with 1xBet implies roughly a 45% chance of victory, marking them as the favourite without making them a runaway pick. Getafe are the outsiders at 4.0 on Betfair, which translates to around a 25% implied probability, while the draw sits at 3.35 (about 30%). Those numbers point to a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. Our model does not chase the outright winner here; instead it focuses on the goals market, where Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.63 with 1xBet and carries a market-implied confidence of around 64% plus a value edge of 4.66%. That combination of a tightish outright market and a leaning towards a lower-scoring game shapes the whole preview below.
Verdict: The model's preferred play is Under 2.5 goals at 1.63, backed by roughly 64% implied confidence and a 4.66% edge. It is a moderate-risk pick at a short price, so treat it accordingly and stake within a sensible bankroll. Getafe at 4.0 offers marginal outright value for those wanting the underdog.
Upcoming La Liga fixtures
All La Liga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 17:30 | CA Osasuna v Levante | 1.98 | 3.60 | 4.71 |
| 24 Aug 19:30 | Málaga v Deportivo La Coruña | 2.44 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| 25 Aug 19:00 | Valencia v Real Betis | 2.98 | 3.43 | 2.67 |
| 26 Aug 19:00 | Real Madrid v Real Sociedad | 1.39 | 5.90 | 9.20 |
| 27 Aug 18:30 | Celta Vigo v CA Osasuna | 2.07 | 3.59 | 4.30 |
| 27 Aug 19:00 | Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao | 1.37 | 6.00 | 9.40 |
| 28 Aug 17:00 | Real Racing Club de Santander v Elche CF | 2.26 | 3.70 | 3.55 |
| 28 Aug 19:30 | Alavés v Villarreal | 3.20 | 3.66 | 2.40 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Primera Division standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | Alavés | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | Atleti | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 4 | Barça | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Getafe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Deportivo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Celta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Valencia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Málaga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Levante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
What is the prediction for CA Osasuna vs Getafe?+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.59, with a 66% confidence rating.
Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Getafe?+
CA Osasuna are the market favourites at 2.22, which implies roughly a 45% chance of winning. Getafe are the outsiders at 4.0, around 25% implied.
What are the draw odds for this match?+
The draw is priced at 3.35 with 1xBet, implying approximately a 30% probability. That sits close to Getafe's outright chance, reflecting a balanced market.
Is there any value in this fixture?+
Our model flags Getafe at 4.0 with a small 3.3% edge against a fair probability of 26%. The main recommended bet, however, is Under 2.5 goals at 1.63, carrying a 4.66% value edge.
When does the match kick off?+
CA Osasuna vs Getafe takes place Mon · 17:30 in the La Liga.