Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
Alavés are favourites at 2.5, an implied probability of roughly 40%, but the gap to a Getafe win at 3.7 (around 27%) is modest.
The draw at 2.94 sits close to a 34% implied chance, underlining how tightly the market rates this fixture.
Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.36, carrying a high market-implied confidence of about 70% for a low-scoring outcome.
The recommended Under bet shows a negative value edge of -5.01%, meaning the price offers no clear overlay against the market.
Team form
Head-to-head: Alavés v Getafe
Full H2H history →W/D/L shown from Alavés's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Alavés vs Getafe: pre-match preview
Alavés host Getafe in La Liga with the home side installed as favourites, priced at 2.5 with 1xBet. That equates to an implied probability of around 40%, marking Alavés as the more likely winner but far from a runaway pick. Getafe sit as outsiders at 3.7 (Tipico), roughly a 27% chance in the market's eyes, while the draw is keenly priced at 2.94, translating to about 34%. Those numbers describe a contest the market sees as competitive rather than one-sided, with a genuine three-way spread. Our model leans away from backing a winner and instead points to Under 2.5 goals at 1.36 (William Hill), reflecting a market-implied confidence near 70% that this will be a lower-scoring affair. Worth noting the calculated value edge on that line is slightly negative at -5.01%, so this is more a read on likely game shape than a standout price.
Verdict: The recommendation is Under 2.5 goals at 1.36, backing a low-scoring game the market rates at roughly 70%. It is a lower-odds, higher-probability play, but the negative value edge means limited pricing upside. Treat it as a modest, moderate-risk option and stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip was voided, for a flat-stake return of 0.00 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Our record on this fixture
Upcoming La Liga fixtures
All La Liga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 17:30 | CA Osasuna v Levante | 1.98 | 3.60 | 4.71 |
| 24 Aug 19:30 | Málaga v Deportivo La Coruña | 2.44 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| 25 Aug 19:00 | Valencia v Real Betis | 2.98 | 3.43 | 2.67 |
| 26 Aug 19:00 | Real Madrid v Real Sociedad | 1.39 | 5.90 | 9.20 |
| 27 Aug 18:30 | Celta Vigo v CA Osasuna | 2.07 | 3.59 | 4.30 |
| 27 Aug 19:00 | Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao | 1.37 | 6.00 | 9.40 |
| 28 Aug 17:00 | Real Racing Club de Santander v Elche CF | 2.26 | 3.70 | 3.55 |
| 28 Aug 19:30 | Alavés v Villarreal | 3.20 | 3.66 | 2.40 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Primera Division standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | Alavés | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | Atleti | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 4 | Barça | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Getafe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Deportivo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Celta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Valencia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Elche | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Athletic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Málaga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Levante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip was Under 1.5 goals at odds of 2.35.
The tip was voided (0.00u at flat stakes).