Clean Sheet explained

A market on whether a team concedes zero goals — priced from defensive and opposing attack rates.

A clean sheet bet wins if the chosen team concedes no goals across the match. It is the defensive mirror of BTTS: 'Team A clean sheet — yes' is close to 'both teams to score — no' weighted to one side.

The honest way to price it is from scoring rates: if the opponent averages 1.2 goals per game against similar defences, a Poisson model puts the zero-goals chance around 30%, making fair odds about 3.30. Any shorter price needs a reason — missing strikers, a parked bus — that the averages have not caught yet.

Worked example

Opponent's expected goals against this defence: 1.2. P(0 goals) = e^−1.2 ≈ 30.1%, fair odds ≈ 3.32. A book offering 2.80 is charging you ~16% over fair; 3.60 is paying you to take the variance.

←Cash Out A–Zall terms →Closing Line Value (CLV)

⚠️ Our AI model is still learning from match data. All predictions are experimental statistical estimates for information purposes only — not financial advice and not an invitation to bet. Outcomes are never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Clean Sheet explained

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