Belgian Pro League ยท Fri ยท 18:45 โ our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 24, 2026 ยท how we work
Genk are priced at 1.85 (about 54% implied), making them the market favourite over SK Beveren at 4.43 (around 23%).
The draw at 3.9 implies roughly 26%, sitting close to the away price and underlining a match the market sees as favourite-led but not one-sided.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.88 reflects a near-even 50% implied probability, essentially a coin-flip call on the total.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals carries a negative value edge of -6.25%, indicating the price is shorter than our model's fair estimate.
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
| Bookmaker | 1 ยท GEN | X | 2 ยท SB |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.77 | 4.96 |
| Tipico | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72 | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70 | 3.45 | 4.50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62 | 3.65 | 4.50 |
Prices as of our last refresh, best price per outcome highlighted. Books are ordered by margin โ the sharpest price-setters first โ not alphabetically.
Genk host SK Beveren in the Belgian Pro League, and the market leaves little doubt about the pecking order. At 1.85, Genk are clear favourites, a price that implies roughly a 54% chance of victory before any margin is stripped out. SK Beveren are the outsiders at 4.43, translating to around 23% implied probability, while the draw sits at 3.9, or about 26% in market terms. That spread reflects a home side the bookmakers expect to control proceedings without pointing to a runaway result. Our model's attention is on the total rather than the winner: Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.88, an implied confidence of roughly 50%. Notably, that pick carries a negative value edge of -6.25%, meaning the price is shorter than our model considers fair. It is flagged for interest, not as a standout value play, so approach it with that context in mind.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.88, a roughly 50/50 proposition on the total. Be aware it shows a -6.25% value edge, so the market price is on the short side. Treat it as a moderate-risk lean rather than a value opportunity, and stake sensibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 14:00 | RAAL La Louviรจre v KV Mechelen | 2.44 | 3.20 | 3.16 |
| 29 Aug 16:15 | KV Kortrijk v Charleroi | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.93 |
| 29 Aug 18:45 | Cercle Brugge KSV v Lommel SK | 1.53 | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| 29 Aug 18:45 | Leuven v Standard Liege | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.36 |
| 30 Aug 11:30 | Gent v Club Brugge | 4.30 | 4.16 | 1.78 |
| 30 Aug 14:00 | Royal Antwerp v Sint Truiden | 2.57 | 3.50 | 2.73 |
| 30 Aug 16:30 | Union Saint-Gilloise v Anderlecht | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| 30 Aug 17:15 | Westerlo v SV Zulte-Waregem | 2.80 | 3.85 | 2.41 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.88, with a 50% confidence rating.
Genk are the favourites at 1.85, which implies about a 54% chance of winning. SK Beveren are the outsiders at 4.43, around 23% implied.
The draw is priced at 3.9 with Tipico, implying roughly a 26% probability.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.88 has a negative value edge of -6.25%, meaning the price is shorter than our model rates as fair. No selections cleared our value threshold for this fixture.
Genk vs SK Beveren takes place Fri ยท 18:45 in the Belgian Pro League.
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