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አማርኛ ⚽ J1 League 🕒 22 Aug 2026
Our tip
Cerezo Osaka to win
Odds
2.30
WonResult
1-0Final score
+1.30uProfit
46%Pre-match conf.
0%CLV
AI Settled against the final score — published pre-match at Coolbet
Today's predictions → Our published tip
Key factors behind our tip
01
Cerezo Osaka are the market favourites at 2.3, implying roughly a 43% chance, ahead of Shimizu S Pulse at 3.17 (about 32%).
02
The draw is priced at 3.6, or around 28% implied probability, keeping all three outcomes realistically in play.
03
Our model rates Cerezo's chance slightly higher than the market at about 46%, producing a modest value edge of 4.74% on the home win.
04
The relatively narrow price gap between home and away suggests the market does not view this as a lopsided matchup.
Team form
CO Cerezo Osaka WLW
22 Aug 26 vs Shimizu S Pulse 1-0
15 Aug 26 @ Avispa Fukuoka 0-3
8 Aug 26 vs Fagiano Okayama 2-1
SSP Shimizu S Pulse LLW
22 Aug 26 @ Cerezo Osaka 0-1
15 Aug 26 vs Yokohama F Marinos 0-1
8 Aug 26 @ Nagoya Grampus 1-0
Form builds from completed fixtures in our dataset and fills out as the season progresses.
Head-to-head: Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S Pulse
W 22 Aug 26
Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S PulseJ1 League
W/D/L shown from Cerezo Osaka's perspective. Meetings from the seasons in our results dataset.
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S Pulse: pre-match preview
Cerezo Osaka host Shimizu S Pulse in this J1 League fixture, and the market has settled on the home side as favourites. Cerezo are priced at 2.3 with Coolbet, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 43%. Shimizu S Pulse are the outsiders at 3.17 (1xBet), implying about 32%, while the draw sits at 3.6 (Coolbet) for around 28%. Those numbers point to a game the market sees as competitive rather than one-sided, with Cerezo holding a moderate rather than commanding edge. Our model leans towards Cerezo Osaka to win at 2.3, assigning a market-implied confidence of about 46% and flagging a small value edge of 4.74% at that price. In short, the home win is the favoured outcome, but the gap between the three prices suggests plenty of room for surprises across the ninety minutes.
Verdict: The recommended play is Cerezo Osaka to win at 2.3, supported by a small 4.74% value edge and around 46% model confidence. It is a moderate-risk pick: Cerezo are favourites but far from certainties, with both the draw and an away win priced within reach. Stake responsibly.
How it settled: the tip landed — the match finished 1-0, for a flat-stake return of +1.30 units. Every tip we publish is archived before kick-off and graded against the final score; nothing is edited or deleted afterwards.
Upcoming J1 League fixtures
All J1 League tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 09:00 | Gamba Osaka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC | 5.00 | 4.35 | 1.67 |
| 29 Aug 09:00 | Mito HollyHock v FC Machida Zelvia | 4.10 | 3.31 | 2.08 |
| 29 Aug 09:30 | Shimizu S Pulse v Kashiwa Reysol | 3.40 | 3.46 | 2.20 |
| 29 Aug 09:30 | V-Varen Nagasaki v FC Tokyo | 4.70 | 3.75 | 1.80 |
| 29 Aug 10:00 | Tokyo Verdy v Kashima Antlers | 4.94 | 3.60 | 1.83 |
| 29 Aug 10:00 | Vissel Kobe v Cerezo Osaka | 1.90 | 3.68 | 4.20 |
| 29 Aug 10:00 | Kyoto Purple Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka | 2.62 | 3.12 | 2.95 |
| 29 Aug 10:00 | Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama | 2.53 | 3.38 | 2.88 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Match FAQ
What was our prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S Pulse?+
Our tip was Cerezo Osaka to win at odds of 2.30.
Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S Pulse?+
Cerezo Osaka are the favourites at 2.3 with Coolbet, implying roughly a 43% chance. Shimizu S Pulse are the outsiders at 3.17.
What are the odds on the draw?+
The draw is priced at 3.6 with Coolbet, which equates to an implied probability of around 28%.
Is there any betting value in this match?+
Our model flags a small value edge of 4.74% on Cerezo Osaka to win at 2.3, with market-implied confidence near 46%. No other selections cleared our value threshold.
Did the tip win?+
The tip won — final score 1-0 (+1.30u at flat stakes).