Eliteserien · Sat · 12:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Bodø/Glimt are strong favourites at 1.46, implying about a 68% chance, well clear of Vålerenga's 6.6 (around 15%).
The price gap between the two sides is substantial, with the home team more than four times the odds of the visitors.
The draw at 5.17 implies roughly 19%, sitting between the two match-result outcomes as the market sees a low tie likelihood.
The recommended Over 3.5 goals at 1.89 shows a negative value edge of -3.78%, so it is a marginal call rather than a clear market inefficiency.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodø/Glimt | 1.48 | Betfair | 67.6% |
| Vålerenga | 6.60 | Coolbet | 15.2% |
| Draw | 5.17 | Pinnacle | 19.3% |
This Eliteserien meeting sends Bodø/Glimt to face Vålerenga as clear favourites in the eyes of the market. At 1.46, Bodø/Glimt carry an implied probability of roughly 68%, marking them as the side bookmakers expect to control this fixture. Vålerenga, priced at 6.6, sit at around 15% implied probability, while the draw at 5.17 reflects about 19%. Those numbers point to a contest the market views as tilted firmly toward the visitors rather than an even affair. Our model turns away from the match-result line and toward goals, recommending Over 3.5 goals at 1.89, which carries a market-implied confidence near 51%. It is worth flagging that the calculated value edge here is negative at -3.78%, so this is a lean rather than a standout value spot. The pricing suggests a favourite with a wide gap over the home side, and a goals angle that sits close to a coin flip.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 3.5 goals at 1.89, a roughly even-money proposition with market-implied confidence around 51%. With a negative value edge of -3.78%, treat this as a modest lean, not a strong edge. Stake responsibly and keep it within your usual bankroll limits.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 17:00 | Sandefjord v KFUM | 2.11 | 3.75 | 3.63 |
| 8 Aug 14:00 | Viking FK v Sarpsborg FK | 1.38 | 5.63 | 7.60 |
| 8 Aug 16:00 | IK Start v Fredrikstad FK | 2.33 | 3.55 | 3.21 |
| 9 Aug 12:30 | Lillestrom v Rosenborg | 2.48 | 3.64 | 2.89 |
| 9 Aug 15:00 | HamKam v Aalesund | 2.18 | 3.85 | 3.37 |
| 9 Aug 17:15 | Kristiansund BK v Molde | 4.90 | 3.90 | 1.78 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.89, with a 51% confidence rating.
Bodø/Glimt are the favourites at 1.46, an implied probability of about 68%. Vålerenga are outsiders at 6.6, roughly 15%.
The draw is priced at 5.17 with Pinnacle, which implies around a 19% chance of the match ending level.
No pick cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 3.5 goals at 1.89 actually shows a negative edge of -3.78%, so it is a lean rather than a genuine value bet.
Vålerenga vs Bodø/Glimt takes place Sat · 12:00 in the Eliteserien.
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