Swiss Super League · Sat · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Servette are strong favourites at 1.6, implying about a 63% chance, while Grasshopper Zurich at 5.6 sit near 18%.
The draw is priced at 4.34, roughly a 23% implied probability, a realistic outcome given the gap between the two sides.
The recommended Over 2.75 goals bet at 1.85 reflects around 52% implied confidence, essentially a near even-money proposition.
The value edge on the recommended pick is negative at about -4.13%, and no selections cleared our value threshold this fixture.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshopper Zürich | 5.50 | Coolbet | 18.2% |
| Servette | 1.60 | GTbets | 62.5% |
| Draw | 4.34 | Pinnacle | 23.0% |
Servette host Grasshopper Zurich in the Swiss Super League, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Servette are priced at 1.6 with GTbets, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 63%. Grasshopper Zurich are the clear outsiders at 5.6 (about 18%), while the draw sits at 4.34 with Pinnacle, or close to 23% before margin adjustment. That spread points to a home side the bookmakers rate well above their visitors, though outsiders and stalemates do land often enough to keep the value question open. Rather than backing the favourite at short odds, our model leans towards the goals market, recommending Over 2.75 goals at 1.85 with Pinnacle. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 52%, meaning it is close to a coin flip in the bookmaker's eyes. It is worth noting the calculated value edge here is negative, so this is a lean rather than a standout spot.
Verdict: The model points to Over 2.75 goals at 1.85, a roughly even-money lean rather than a value edge, since the calculated margin is negative. Treat this as a modest-confidence angle at best. Servette are clear favourites, but short prices and a live draw mean caution and sensible staking apply.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 16:00 | FC Lausanne-Sport v BSC Young Boys | 3.00 | 4.23 | 2.25 |
| 9 Aug 12:00 | FC Lugano v FC Zurich | 1.53 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
| 9 Aug 14:30 | FC Basel v FC Thun | 1.94 | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| 9 Aug 14:30 | FC St Gallen v FC Luzern | 2.08 | 3.97 | 3.57 |
| 9 Aug 14:30 | FC Sion v FC Vaduz | 1.51 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.75 goals at odds of 1.85, with a 52% confidence rating.
Servette are the favourites at 1.6, which implies about a 63% chance. Grasshopper Zurich are outsiders at 5.6, or roughly 18%.
The draw is priced at 4.34 with Pinnacle, equating to an implied probability of around 23% before the bookmaker margin is stripped out.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.75 goals at 1.85 actually shows a negative value edge of about -4.13%, so it is a lean rather than a strong value play.
Servette vs Grasshopper Zürich takes place Sat · 18:30 in the Swiss Super League.
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