Liga Profesional · Sun · 18:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Atlético Huracán are marginal favourites at 2.63 (about 38% implied), with Sarmiento de Junin the underdogs at 3.13 (around 32%).
The draw is priced at 2.83, roughly 35% implied, reflecting how evenly the market rates this fixture.
The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.76 carries about 54% implied confidence but a negative value edge of -5.09%.
No selections cleared our value threshold against the market consensus, so there is no strong edge on offer here.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Huracán | 2.62 | 1xBet | 38.2% |
| Sarmiento de Junin | 3.15 | 1xBet | 31.7% |
| Draw | 2.82 | 1xBet | 35.5% |
This Liga Profesional clash pits Sarmiento de Junin against Atlético Huracán, and the market leans towards the visitors. Atlético Huracán are the favourites at 2.63, which translates to roughly 38% implied probability, while Sarmiento de Junin sit as underdogs at 3.13, or about 32%. The draw is priced at 2.83, close to 35% implied, underlining how tight this pricing is. There is no runaway favourite here; the gap between the two sides is modest, and the balanced odds point to a contest the bookmakers see as genuinely competitive. Rather than backing a side outright, our model looks at the goals market, recommending Over 1.5 goals at 1.76. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 54%. Worth noting, though, is that our value assessment shows a negative edge of -5.09% on that selection, so it is a lean rather than a standout value play in this matchup.
Verdict: Our lean is Over 1.5 goals at 1.76, supported by roughly 54% implied confidence. Be aware the value edge is negative at -5.09%, meaning the price is slightly against you rather than in your favour. Treat this as a modest lean and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Estudiantes | 2.16 | 3.10 | 4.34 |
| 6 Aug 00:15 | CA Tigre BA v Belgrano de Cordoba | 2.66 | 2.92 | 3.40 |
| 6 Aug 22:00 | Union Santa Fe v Lanus | 2.40 | 3.09 | 3.65 |
| 7 Aug 22:30 | Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata | 1.55 | 3.90 | 8.60 |
| 8 Aug 00:45 | Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.56 | 4.02 | 7.80 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.83 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes | 3.40 | 2.72 | 2.62 |
| 8 Aug 20:00 | CA Tigre BA v River Plate | 3.42 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.79, with a 53% confidence rating.
Atlético Huracán are the favourites at 2.63, implying about 38% probability. Sarmiento de Junin are priced at 3.13, around 32%, so the visitors are only slightly ahead.
The draw is available at 2.83 with 1xBet, which equates to roughly 35% implied probability. That pricing sits close to both team prices, signalling a balanced fixture.
No selection cleared our value threshold against the market. The recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.76 actually shows a negative edge of -5.09%, so treat it as a lean rather than a value bet.
Sarmiento de Junin vs Atlético Huracán takes place Sun · 18:00 in the Liga Profesional.
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