Liga Profesional · Sun · 18:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
The match-result odds are almost level: San Lorenzo at 2.93 (about 34%) and Huracán at 2.98 (about 34%), leaving no meaningful favourite.
The draw is the shortest outcome at 2.72, implying roughly 37%, which suggests the market sees a close, low-margin contest.
Our recommended Over 1.5 goals at 1.9 sits near a coin flip in implied terms (around 50%) but shows a negative value edge of -4.75%.
No value picks cleared our threshold against market consensus, reinforcing that prices look fair rather than mispriced.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Huracán | 2.95 | Codere (IT) | 33.9% |
| San Lorenzo | 2.93 | 1xBet | 34.1% |
| Draw | 2.72 | Nordic Bet | 36.8% |
This Liga Profesional meeting between San Lorenzo and Atlético Huracán is priced as one of the tightest fixtures you will find. The best available odds put San Lorenzo at 2.93 and Huracán fractionally longer at 2.98, translating to implied win probabilities of roughly 34% and 34% respectively. In other words, the market cannot separate these two sides. The draw is actually the shortest of the three outcomes at 2.72, implying about 37%, which signals that oddsmakers view a stalemate as a realistic result. With no clear favourite, the value here does not sit on the match-result line. Our model instead looks to the goals market, recommending Over 1.5 goals at 1.9. That price carries a market-implied confidence of around 50%, though the calculated value edge is negative at -4.75%, so this is a lean rather than a standout play in a game the market reads as genuinely balanced.
Verdict: The pick is Over 1.5 goals at 1.9, a modest lean rather than a strong edge given the -4.75% value figure. With the match-result market rating the sides evenly and the draw shortest, expectations should be measured. Treat this as a low-conviction play and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 22:00 | Boca Juniors v Estudiantes | 2.16 | 3.10 | 4.34 |
| 6 Aug 00:15 | CA Tigre BA v Belgrano de Cordoba | 2.66 | 2.92 | 3.40 |
| 6 Aug 22:00 | Union Santa Fe v Lanus | 2.40 | 3.09 | 3.65 |
| 7 Aug 22:30 | Rosario Central v Aldosivi Mar del Plata | 1.55 | 3.90 | 8.60 |
| 8 Aug 00:45 | Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 1.56 | 4.02 | 7.80 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Atlético Tucuman v Sarmiento de Junin | 1.83 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| 8 Aug 17:45 | Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes | 3.40 | 2.72 | 2.62 |
| 8 Aug 20:00 | CA Tigre BA v River Plate | 3.42 | 3.05 | 2.38 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.91, with a 50% confidence rating.
Neither side is a clear favourite. San Lorenzo is priced at 2.93 and Atlético Huracán at 2.98, so the market rates them almost identically at around 34% each.
The draw is available at 2.72 with 1xBet, implying roughly 37%. It is actually the shortest of the three match-result prices.
No value picks cleared our threshold on the match-result line. Our model leans to Over 1.5 goals at 1.9, but the value edge is negative at -4.75%, making it a low-conviction suggestion rather than a strong bet.
San Lorenzo vs Atlético Huracán takes place Sun · 18:00 in the Liga Profesional.
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