Allsvenskan · Sat · 13:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
AIK are favourites at 2.1 (about 48% implied), with Örgryte IS at 3.51 (roughly 28%) as the outsiders.
The draw is priced at 3.85, an implied probability near 26%, reflecting a reasonably open match-result market.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.63 has a market-implied confidence of about 59%.
No value picks cleared our threshold, and the Over 2.5 goals edge is negative at -3.76%, suggesting the price is fair to slightly unfavourable.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIK | 2.23 | Unibet (SE) | 44.8% |
| Örgryte IS | 3.34 | GTbets | 29.9% |
| Draw | 3.80 | Unibet (SE) | 26.3% |
This Allsvenskan fixture sees Örgryte IS host AIK, and the market leans clearly toward the visitors. AIK are the favourites at a best price of 2.1, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 48%. Örgryte IS are the outsiders at 3.51, or about 28% in probability terms, while the draw sits at 3.85, close to 26%. Those numbers point to a contest the bookmakers rate as tilted but far from settled, with AIK favoured yet no dominant gap. Rather than back the match result, our model looks at the goals market. The recommended bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 with LeoVegas (SE), carrying a market-implied confidence of around 59%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge is negative at -3.76%, so this is priced fairly to slightly against the bettor rather than a standout value spot.
Verdict: The suggested play is Over 2.5 goals at 1.63, with implied confidence around 59%. It reflects an expectation of an open game, but the negative value edge of -3.76% means the price offers no measurable advantage. Treat it as a moderate-risk selection and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 15:30 | Mjällby AIF v IF Elfsborg | 2.44 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| 9 Aug 12:00 | Malmo FF v Degerfors IF | 1.55 | 5.10 | 8.00 |
| 9 Aug 12:00 | Hammarby IF v BK Hacken | 1.55 | 5.30 | 7.00 |
| 9 Aug 14:30 | Halmstads BK v GAIS | 5.40 | 4.10 | 1.71 |
| 9 Aug 14:30 | IFK Goteborg v Kalmar FF | 2.32 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| 10 Aug 17:00 | IK Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna | 1.34 | 6.25 | 10.06 |
| 10 Aug 17:00 | Västerås SK v Djurgardens IF | 4.40 | 4.15 | 1.89 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.61, with a 59% confidence rating.
AIK are the favourites at a best price of 2.1, an implied probability of about 48%. Örgryte IS are longer at 3.51, roughly 28%.
The draw is available at 3.85 with Betfair, which implies a probability of around 26%.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 actually shows a negative edge of -3.76%, so there is no measurable value on offer.
Örgryte IS vs AIK takes place Sat · 13:00 in the Allsvenskan.
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