Süper Lig · Sat · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Gaziantep are the favourites at 2.43 (about 41% implied), ahead of Alanyaspor at 3.02 (about 33%), a modest rather than commanding gap.
The draw is priced at 3.5, implying near 29%, and our model rates its fair probability at 30% for a small positive edge of 3.47%.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.01 carries roughly 48% implied confidence but a slightly negative value edge of -2.86%.
With three outcomes all clustered between roughly 29% and 41%, the market frames this as a competitive, closely matched fixture.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 2.71 | 1xBet | 36.9% |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | 2.66 | 1xBet | 37.6% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 1xBet | 28.6% |
This Süper Lig meeting sees Gazişehir Gaziantep host Alanyaspor, and the bookmakers lean towards the home side. Gaziantep are priced at 2.43, which translates to a market-implied probability of roughly 41%, while Alanyaspor sit at 3.02, or about 33%. The draw is available at 3.5 with Coolbet, implying close to 29%. That is a fairly balanced market rather than a runaway favourite, with the home advantage giving Gaziantep only a modest edge. Our model highlights the total: Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.01, close to an even-money proposition with implied confidence around 48%. It is worth noting the value edge on that line is slightly negative at -2.86%, so it reads as a marginal call rather than a standout price. The clearest value flag from the numbers actually sits on the draw, where our fair probability of 30% edges the market price.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at 2.01, an even-money style bet with around 48% implied confidence. Honestly, its value edge is marginally negative, so treat it as a lean rather than a strong call. The draw shows the only positive edge here. Stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Akhisar Belediyespor | 1.20 | 7.29 | 12.50 |
| 15 Aug 16:00 | Kasimpasa SK v Trabzonspor | 4.10 | 3.83 | 1.90 |
| 15 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.56 | 3.30 | 3.14 |
| 15 Aug 18:30 | Genclerbirligi SK v Fenerbahce | 6.81 | 4.58 | 1.50 |
| 16 Aug 16:00 | Basaksehir v Kocaelispor | 1.55 | 4.40 | 6.75 |
| 16 Aug 18:30 | Amed SK v Erzurum BB | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| 16 Aug 18:30 | Besiktas JK v Eyüpspor | 1.35 | 5.70 | 8.95 |
| 17 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Goztepe | 2.20 | 3.43 | 3.52 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.93, with a 50% confidence rating.
Gazişehir Gaziantep are the favourites at 2.43, implying about a 41% chance, while Alanyaspor are priced at 3.02, around 33%.
The draw is best priced at 3.5 with Coolbet, implying roughly 29%. Our model rates its fair probability at 30%, giving a small positive edge of 3.47%.
Over 2.5 goals is offered at 2.01 with about 48% implied confidence, but the calculated value edge is slightly negative at -2.86%, so it is a marginal pick rather than a clear value spot.
Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor takes place Sat · 18:30 in the Süper Lig.
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