La Liga 2 · Sun · 17:00 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Burgos CF are the favourites at 2.34 (about 43% implied), but the margin over Córdoba is far from commanding.
Córdoba at 3.29 and the draw at 3.35 are priced almost identically, pointing to a closely matched away-versus-draw scenario.
The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 implies roughly 55% confidence in a lower-scoring outcome.
The value edge on the Under pick is negative (-4.14%), so no selection here clears our value threshold.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos CF | 2.34 | Pinnacle | 42.7% |
| Córdoba | 3.23 | 1xBet | 31.0% |
| Draw | 3.33 | 1xBet | 30.0% |
Burgos CF host Córdoba in this La Liga 2 clash, and the market clearly leans towards the home side. Burgos are priced at 2.34, which translates to an implied probability of roughly 43%, marking them as modest favourites. Córdoba, at 3.29, sit at about 30% in implied terms, while the draw is close behind at 3.35, or around 30%. The tight gap between the away win and the draw suggests bookmakers see this as a fairly balanced contest away from Burgos' home edge, rather than a lopsided mismatch. Our model steers away from the match-result market and instead flags Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, carrying an implied confidence near 55%. It is worth noting the calculated value edge here is negative at -4.14%, meaning the price does not offer standout value. The pick reflects a lean towards a lower-scoring game rather than a strong quantitative advantage.
Verdict: The model's lean is Under 2.5 goals at 1.73, reflecting a slight tilt towards a tighter, lower-scoring game. However, with a negative value edge of -4.14%, this is not a strong-value play. Treat it as a modest-confidence pick and stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 18:30 | Real Sociedad B v CD Castellón | 4.22 | 4.17 | 1.81 |
| 15 Aug 15:00 | Andorra CF v AD Ceuta FC | 1.62 | 4.15 | 5.15 |
| 15 Aug 17:00 | Oviedo v Granada CF | 1.76 | 3.83 | 4.73 |
| 15 Aug 17:00 | Cádiz CF v Celta Vigo | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| 15 Aug 19:30 | Mallorca v Real Valladolid CF | 1.73 | 3.66 | 5.25 |
| 16 Aug 15:00 | SD Eibar v Tenerife | 1.82 | 3.58 | 4.90 |
| 16 Aug 17:00 | Girona FC v Leganés | 1.65 | 3.88 | 5.65 |
| 16 Aug 19:30 | Las Palmas v Albacete | 1.69 | 3.95 | 5.09 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.18, with a 44% confidence rating.
Burgos CF are the favourites at 2.34 with Pinnacle, implying about a 43% chance. Córdoba are the underdogs at 3.29, around 30% implied.
The draw is priced at 3.35 with 1xBet, an implied probability of roughly 30%. That is very close to Córdoba's away-win price, suggesting a balanced contest.
No selection cleared our value threshold. The recommended Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 actually shows a negative value edge of -4.14%, so it is a low-value lean rather than a standout pick.
Burgos CF vs Córdoba takes place Sun · 17:00 in the La Liga 2.
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