Süper Lig · Sun · 18:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Besiktas are firm favourites at 1.35, an implied probability near 74%, against Eyüpspor at 10.0 for roughly 10%.
The draw is priced at 5.37, implying about 19%, yet our model assigns a fair probability of 22% for a positive edge of nearly 19%.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals bet at 1.72 sits at about 56% implied confidence but shows a slightly negative value edge of -2.9%.
The wide gap between the home and away prices reflects a lopsided market with little pricing support for an Eyüpspor win.
| Market | Odds | Value edge | Confidence | AI score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (X) | 5.70 | +5.5% | 19% | 56 |
Model-scored alternatives to the main tip — every market is ranked by value edge and win probability, not by potential payout.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas JK | 1.35 | 1xBet | 74.1% |
| Eyüpspor | 8.95 | 1xBet | 11.2% |
| Draw | 5.70 | Tipico | 17.5% |
Besiktas JK host Eyüpspor in the Süper Lig, and the market leaves little doubt about which side it favours. At 1.35, Besiktas are priced as strong home favourites, implying roughly a 74% chance of taking the three points. Eyüpspor are the clear outsiders at 10.0, translating to only about a 10% implied probability, while the draw sits at 5.37, or around 19% before margin. Rather than backing the heavy favourite at a short price, our model looks to the goals market. The recommended angle is Over 2.5 goals at 1.72, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 56%. It is worth noting the value edge here reads slightly negative at -2.9%, so this is a lean rather than a standout price. The one spot where the numbers flag genuine value is on the draw, where the fair probability outstrips the implied price.
Verdict: The model leans to Over 2.5 goals at 1.72, backed by roughly 56% implied confidence, though its value edge is marginally negative. Treat it as a modest-confidence pick rather than a clear edge. The standout value figure actually sits on the draw at 5.37. Stake responsibly.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 18:30 | Galatasaray v Akhisar Belediyespor | 1.20 | 7.29 | 12.50 |
| 15 Aug 16:00 | Kasimpasa SK v Trabzonspor | 4.10 | 3.83 | 1.90 |
| 15 Aug 16:00 | Torku Konyaspor v Çaykur Rizespor | 2.56 | 3.30 | 3.14 |
| 15 Aug 18:30 | Genclerbirligi SK v Fenerbahce | 6.81 | 4.58 | 1.50 |
| 15 Aug 18:30 | Gazişehir Gaziantep v Alanyaspor | 2.66 | 3.50 | 2.71 |
| 16 Aug 16:00 | Basaksehir v Kocaelispor | 1.55 | 4.40 | 6.75 |
| 16 Aug 18:30 | Amed SK v Erzurum BB | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| 17 Aug 18:30 | Samsunspor v Goztepe | 2.20 | 3.43 | 3.52 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.33, with a 42% confidence rating.
Besiktas JK are the clear favourites at 1.35, which implies about a 74% chance of victory. Eyüpspor are long outsiders at 10.0, around 10% implied.
The draw is priced at 5.37 with 1xBet, an implied probability of roughly 19%. Our model rates its fair probability at 22%, giving a value edge close to 19%.
The recommended Over 2.5 goals at 1.72 carries a slightly negative edge of -2.9%, so it is a lean rather than a value play. The draw at 5.37 is the only selection our model flags with a clear positive edge.
Besiktas JK vs Eyüpspor takes place Sun · 18:30 in the Süper Lig.
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