Our prediction
Key factors behind our tip
Benfica at 1.13 imply roughly 88 percent, marking them as heavy favourites against Académico de Viseu.
Académico de Viseu at 28.0 sit at about a 4 percent implied chance, one of the steepest outsider prices around.
The draw at 10.0 prices a stalemate at roughly 10 percent, underlining the market's confidence in a decisive result.
The recommended Over 3.5 goals at 2.1 carries a negative value edge of -4.55 percent, so it offers no pricing advantage over the market.
Team form
Best odds across bookmakers
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Académico de Viseu | 26.00 | Betfair | 3.8% |
| Benfica | 1.13 | Betfair | 88.5% |
| Draw | 10.00 | Tipico | 10.0% |
Benfica vs Académico de Viseu: match preview
Benfica host Académico de Viseu in the Primeira Liga, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Benfica are priced at just 1.13 to win, which converts to an implied probability of roughly 88 percent. Académico de Viseu are out at 28.0, implying only about a 4 percent chance, while the draw sits at 10.0, around 10 percent. That is one of the widest price gaps you will see in a domestic fixture, reflecting a clear expectation of a home-side result. Rather than backing the short favourite, our model looks toward goals: the recommended angle is Over 3.5 goals at 2.1 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 45 percent. Note that this pick shows a negative value edge of -4.55 percent, meaning the price does not offer an edge over the market. It is included as the model's preferred line, not as a value play in this instance.
Verdict: The model's pick is Over 3.5 goals at 2.1, a total-goals angle with market-implied confidence near 45 percent. Be aware the value edge is negative at -4.55 percent, so this is a preference rather than an edge. Treat it as higher risk and stake responsibly.
Upcoming Primeira Liga fixtures
All Primeira Liga tips →| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 19:15 | Estoril v Famalicão | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.34 |
| 8 Aug 14:30 | CS Maritimo v Casa Pia | 2.48 | 3.45 | 2.95 |
| 8 Aug 17:00 | Vitória SC v Arouca | 1.90 | 3.85 | 4.30 |
| 8 Aug 19:30 | CF Estrela v Sporting Lisbon | 14.50 | 6.60 | 1.24 |
| 9 Aug 17:00 | FC Porto v Alverca | 1.21 | 7.80 | 16.50 |
| 9 Aug 19:30 | Gil Vicente v Rio Ave FC | 2.01 | 3.57 | 4.20 |
| 9 Aug 19:30 | Moreirense FC v Braga | 5.20 | 3.75 | 1.73 |
| 10 Aug 19:15 | Santa Clara v Nacional | 1.96 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Primeira Liga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 33 | 27 | 4 | 2 | +47 | 85 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | +65 | 80 |
| 3 | SL Benfica | 33 | 22 | 11 | 0 | +46 | 77 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | +28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | +8 | 47 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril Praia | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Vitória SC | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -18 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | -20 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -17 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -24 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -26 | 27 |
| 18 | AVS | 33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -40 | 20 |
Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.
Match FAQ
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.77, with a 54% confidence rating.
Benfica are strong favourites at 1.13, an implied probability of roughly 88 percent. Académico de Viseu are the outsiders at 28.0, around 4 percent.
The draw is available at 10.0 with Tipico, which implies about a 10 percent chance of the match ending level.
No pick cleared the value threshold here. The model's recommended Over 3.5 goals at 2.1 actually carries a negative edge of -4.55 percent, so it does not represent value against the market.
Benfica vs Académico de Viseu takes place Sun · 19:30 in the Primeira Liga.