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Home/ Predictions/ Primeira Liga/ Benfica vs Académico de Viseu

Benfica vs Académico de Viseu prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun · 19:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.

Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work

Our prediction

Primeira Liga 🕒 Sun · 19:30
Model lean
Under 3.5 goals
Odds
1.77
ⓘ Model lean, not an official pick — this fixture didn't clear our value threshold, so it isn't counted in the record
ConfidenceValue · 54%
AI Value edge -3.54% · best price at Tipico
Bet at Tipico

Key factors behind our tip

01

Benfica at 1.13 imply roughly 88 percent, marking them as heavy favourites against Académico de Viseu.

02

Académico de Viseu at 28.0 sit at about a 4 percent implied chance, one of the steepest outsider prices around.

03

The draw at 10.0 prices a stalemate at roughly 10 percent, underlining the market's confidence in a decisive result.

04

The recommended Over 3.5 goals at 2.1 carries a negative value edge of -4.55 percent, so it offers no pricing advantage over the market.

Team form

BEN Benfica WDDWW
16 May 26 @ Estoril Praia 3-1
11 May 26 vs Braga 2-2
2 May 26 @ Famalicão 2-2
25 Apr 26 vs Moreirense 4-1
19 Apr 26 @ Sporting CP 2-1
ADV Académico de Viseu
No completed games in our results dataset yet.

Best odds across bookmakers

OutcomeBest priceBookmakerImplied
Académico de Viseu 26.00 Betfair 3.8%
Benfica 1.13 Betfair 88.5%
Draw 10.00 Tipico 10.0%

Benfica vs Académico de Viseu: match preview

Benfica host Académico de Viseu in the Primeira Liga, and the market leaves little doubt about who it favours. Benfica are priced at just 1.13 to win, which converts to an implied probability of roughly 88 percent. Académico de Viseu are out at 28.0, implying only about a 4 percent chance, while the draw sits at 10.0, around 10 percent. That is one of the widest price gaps you will see in a domestic fixture, reflecting a clear expectation of a home-side result. Rather than backing the short favourite, our model looks toward goals: the recommended angle is Over 3.5 goals at 2.1 with Coolbet, carrying a market-implied confidence of about 45 percent. Note that this pick shows a negative value edge of -4.55 percent, meaning the price does not offer an edge over the market. It is included as the model's preferred line, not as a value play in this instance.

Verdict: The model's pick is Over 3.5 goals at 2.1, a total-goals angle with market-implied confidence near 45 percent. Be aware the value edge is negative at -4.55 percent, so this is a preference rather than an edge. Treat it as higher risk and stake responsibly.

Upcoming Primeira Liga fixtures

All Primeira Liga tips →
Kick-off (UTC)Match1X2
7 Aug 19:15 Estoril v Famalicão 3.25 3.40 2.34
8 Aug 14:30 CS Maritimo v Casa Pia 2.48 3.45 2.95
8 Aug 17:00 Vitória SC v Arouca 1.90 3.85 4.30
8 Aug 19:30 CF Estrela v Sporting Lisbon 14.50 6.60 1.24
9 Aug 17:00 FC Porto v Alverca 1.21 7.80 16.50
9 Aug 19:30 Gil Vicente v Rio Ave FC 2.01 3.57 4.20
9 Aug 19:30 Moreirense FC v Braga 5.20 3.75 1.73
10 Aug 19:15 Santa Clara v Nacional 1.96 3.50 4.20

Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.

Primeira Liga standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Porto 33 27 4 2 +47 85
2 Sporting CP 32 25 5 2 +65 80
3 SL Benfica 33 22 11 0 +46 77
4 Braga 32 15 11 6 +28 56
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 33 12 11 10 +8 47
7 Moreirense 33 12 7 14 -9 43
8 Arouca 33 12 6 15 -16 42
9 Estoril Praia 34 10 9 15 -3 39
10 Vitória SC 33 11 6 16 -14 39
11 Alverca 33 9 9 15 -18 36
12 Rio Ave 33 8 12 13 -20 36
13 Santa Clara 33 8 9 16 -10 33
14 CD Nacional 33 8 7 18 -10 31
15 Amadora 33 6 12 15 -17 30
16 Casa Pia 32 6 12 14 -24 30
17 Tondela 32 6 9 17 -26 27
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 -40 20

Standings & historical results via football-data.org, refreshed daily. Before a new season's opening round this shows the previous season's final table.

Match FAQ

What is the prediction for Benfica vs Académico de Viseu?+

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.77, with a 54% confidence rating.

Who is the favourite for Benfica vs Académico de Viseu?+

Benfica are strong favourites at 1.13, an implied probability of roughly 88 percent. Académico de Viseu are the outsiders at 28.0, around 4 percent.

What is the draw priced at?+

The draw is available at 10.0 with Tipico, which implies about a 10 percent chance of the match ending level.

Is there any betting value in this match?+

No pick cleared the value threshold here. The model's recommended Over 3.5 goals at 2.1 actually carries a negative edge of -4.55 percent, so it does not represent value against the market.

When does the match kick off?+

Benfica vs Académico de Viseu takes place Sun · 19:30 in the Primeira Liga.