Belgian Pro League · Sun · 16:30 — our model's pick, the best available price and how the market is priced.
Odds and data refreshed Aug 5, 2026 · how we work
Anderlecht's 1.78 price implies about a 56% win probability, making them the clear market favourite over RAAL La Louvière.
RAAL La Louvière at 4.7 sit at roughly 21% implied, underlining their underdog status in this matchup.
The draw is priced at 3.77 (around 27% implied), a fairly typical figure for a game with a defined favourite.
Our recommended Over 2.5 goals at 2.14 carries an implied confidence near 47% but only a 1.2% value edge, so the margin is thin.
| Outcome | Best price | Bookmaker | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 1.78 | Betsson | 56.2% |
| RAAL La Louvière | 4.90 | Betfair | 20.4% |
| Draw | 3.81 | 1xBet | 26.2% |
Anderlecht welcome RAAL La Louvière to the Belgian Pro League with the market firmly on the hosts' side. At a best price of 1.78, Anderlecht are priced as clear favourites, implying roughly a 56% chance of taking the three points. RAAL La Louvière are the outsiders at 4.7, translating to around 21% in the market's eyes, while the draw sits at 3.77, or close to 27% implied. That gap between the two sides tells much of the story here: the bookmakers expect Anderlecht to control proceedings, though a single result is never certain. Rather than backing the match outcome, our model leans toward the goals market, flagging Over 2.5 goals at 2.14 with a market-implied confidence of about 47%. It is a slim value edge of just 1.2%, so this is a modest lean rather than a strong signal. Below we break down what the prices are really telling us for this fixture.
Verdict: The lean is Over 2.5 goals at 2.14, reflecting a roughly 47% implied likelihood of an open game. With a value edge of only 1.2%, treat this as a low-conviction pick rather than a standout spot, and stake accordingly within a sensible bankroll.
| Kick-off (UTC) | Match | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 18:45 | Club Brugge v KV Kortrijk | 1.27 | 6.70 | 12.50 |
| 8 Aug 16:15 | Standard Liege v Cercle Brugge KSV | 2.44 | 3.46 | 3.00 |
| 8 Aug 18:45 | Sint Truiden v Lommel SK | 1.62 | 4.14 | 5.70 |
| 8 Aug 18:45 | Westerlo v Union Saint-Gilloise | 4.90 | 3.90 | 1.81 |
| 9 Aug 11:30 | Gent v KV Mechelen | 2.02 | 3.69 | 3.80 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | SV Zulte-Waregem v Genk | 3.20 | 3.69 | 2.22 |
| 9 Aug 14:00 | Charleroi v Leuven | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| 9 Aug 17:15 | Royal Antwerp v SK Beveren | 1.75 | 3.75 | 5.30 |
Best available 1X2 price per outcome across the bookmakers we track. Click a fixture for its full prediction.
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00, with a 49% confidence rating.
Anderlecht are the favourites at a best price of 1.78, which implies about a 56% chance of winning. RAAL La Louvière are the outsiders at 4.7, or roughly 21% implied.
The draw is available at 3.77, equating to an implied probability of around 27%.
Our model flags Over 2.5 goals at 2.14 with a value edge of just 1.2%, and no match-result picks cleared the value threshold. That makes for a marginal opportunity at best, so caution is warranted.
Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière takes place Sun · 16:30 in the Belgian Pro League.
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